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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Heracles
T S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Twente
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
35%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
77%
58%
Both score Ø 68%
77%
58%
Average goals
3,4
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 11. · Twente 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 22 2 2 +42 68
2 Ajax 26 18 4 4 +44 58
3 AZ Alkmaar 26 17 5 4 +25 56
4 Feyenoord 26 12 6 8 +19 42
5 Utrecht 24 11 7 6 +1 40
6 Zwolle 26 11 7 8 -1 40
7 Vitesse 23 10 7 6 +12 37
8 Heerenveen 25 9 8 8 -1 35
9 Den Haag 24 9 6 9 -3 33
10 VVV Venlo 26 7 12 7 -5 33
11 Heracles 26 9 6 11 -13 33
12 Excelsior 26 9 5 12 -6 32
13 Groningen 26 5 11 10 -5 26
14 NAC Breda 26 6 6 14 -15 24
15 Willem II 26 6 5 15 -16 23
16 Twente 26 4 6 16 -19 18
17 Sparta Rotterdam 26 4 6 16 -28 18
18 Roda 26 4 5 17 -31 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Twente
1′
🟨 Adam Maher
Peter van Ooijen 🟨
8′
29′
🟨 Cristian Cuevas
Half-time 0–1
50′
A. Tighadouini 0–1
D. Holla
1–1 K. Peterson
57′
1–2 A. Maher
own goal
63′
D. Wuytens 🔁
↦ W. Droste
64′
Jamiro Monteiro 🟨
66′
67′
🟨 Jeroen van der Lely
72′
🔁 M. El Hamdaoui
↦ A. Tighadouini
Dries Wuytens 🟨
77′
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ V. Vermeij
80′
81′
🔁 J. Hooiveld
↦ T. Boere
T. van de Berg 🔁
↦ T. Breukers
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
12 W. Droste D
4 R. Pröpper D
22 R. Baas D
21 S. Jakubiak M
20 P. van Ooijen M
35 Jamiro M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (10)
3 D. Wuytens
9 P. Gladon
30 T. van de Berg
5 B. van Hintum
7 B. Darri
14 M. Osman
15 J. Navrátil
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer
29 R. Niemeijer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Twente

4-4-2
16 J. Drommel G
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
28 J. van der Lely D
21 D. Holla M
20 A. Maher M
34 A. Tighadouini F
6 M. Maria M
19 F. Jensen M
9 T. Boere F
Bench (8)
29 M. El Hamdaoui
4 J. Hooiveld
5 S. Thesker
14 R. Jensen
18 M. Liendl
23 J. van der Heyden
26 J. Brondeel
27 L. Slagveer

Coach: G. Verbeek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.