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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Leeds
S S U U T
3–1
Full-time
Tottenham
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 44%
41%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
56%
53%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 11. · Tottenham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 34 25 5 4 +47 80
2 Man United 33 19 10 4 +29 67
3 Leicester 35 19 6 10 +20 63
4 Chelsea 34 17 10 7 +22 61
5 West Ham 34 17 7 10 +11 58
6 Tottenham 34 16 8 10 +22 56
7 Liverpool 33 15 9 9 +16 54
8 Everton 33 15 7 11 +3 52
9 Arsenal 34 14 7 13 +9 49
10 Aston Villa 33 14 6 13 +10 48
11 Leeds 34 14 5 15 -2 47
12 Wolves 34 11 9 14 -13 42
13 Newcastle 35 10 9 16 -18 39
14 Crystal Palace 33 10 8 15 -22 38
15 Brighton 34 8 13 13 -4 37
16 Southampton 33 10 7 16 -18 37
17 Burnley 34 9 9 16 -16 36
18 Fulham 34 5 12 17 -20 27
19 West Brom 34 5 11 18 -34 26
20 Sheffield United 34 5 2 27 -42 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -21 Tottenham – Leeds 3–0

Match report

Leeds Tottenham
1–0 S. Dallas
13′
25′
Son Heung-Min 1–1
D. Alli
31′
ℹ️ Harry Kane
VAR: Penalty confirmed
2–1 P. Bamford
E. Alioski
42′
Half-time 2–1
Robin Koch 🟨
51′
Raphinha 🔁
↦ T. Roberts
58′
61′
🟨 Sergio Reguilón
67′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ D. Alli
67′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ G. Bale
68′
🟨 Lucas Moura
Rodrigo 🔁
↦ P. Bamford
79′
80′
🔁 T. Ndombèlé
↦ G. Lo Celso
3–1 Rodrigo
Raphinha
84′
Rodrigo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
85′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ M. Klich
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 I. Meslier G
2 L. Ayling D
15 S. Dallas M
14 Llorente D
5 R. Koch M
21 P. Struijk D
43 M. Klich M
22 J. Harrison M
10 E. Alioski D
9 P. Bamford F
11 T. Roberts M
Bench (9)
18 Raphinha
20 Rodrigo
23 K. Phillips
46 J. Shackleton
7 I. Poveda-Ocampo
19 Pablo Hernández
28 G. Berardi
24 L. Davis
13 Kiko Casilla

Coach: M. Bielsa

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 H. Lloris G
4 T. Alderweireld D
24 S. Aurier D
3 Reguilón D
5 P. Højbjerg M
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier D
18 G. Lo Celso M
9 G. Bale M
7 Son Heung-Min M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
11 E. Lamela
27 Lucas Moura
28 T. Ndombèlé
17 M. Sissoko
23 S. Bergwijn
2 M. Doherty
8 H. Winks
6 D. Sánchez
12 J. Hart

Coach: R. Mason

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,46
U
3,80
B
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,29
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.