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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
FC Emmen
U U U S S
3–1
Full-time
Heracles
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
14%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
62%
41%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Emmen 17. · Heracles 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 29 23 4 2 +66 73
2 PSV Eindhoven 30 19 7 4 +35 64
3 AZ Alkmaar 29 18 7 4 +28 61
4 Vitesse 29 17 5 7 +18 56
5 Feyenoord 27 15 7 5 +29 52
6 Groningen 29 13 6 10 +1 45
7 Utrecht 27 11 9 7 +9 42
8 Heracles 29 11 6 12 -8 39
9 Twente 29 9 10 10 +2 37
10 Heerenveen 30 9 10 11 -3 37
11 Sparta Rotterdam 29 10 6 13 -4 36
12 Zwolle 30 8 11 11 -6 35
13 For Sittard 29 10 4 15 -12 34
14 Waalwijk 30 6 8 16 -18 26
15 Willem II 30 6 7 17 -29 25
16 VVV Venlo 30 6 4 20 -38 22
17 FC Emmen 29 4 9 16 -28 21
18 Den Haag 29 2 10 17 -42 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen Heracles
36′
🟨 Luca De La Torre
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. de Leeuw
58′
63′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ S. Bakış
63′
🔁 I. Azzaoui
↦ K. Jakobsen
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ L. Adžić
70′
73′
🔁 A. Szőke
↦ D. Burgzorg
H. Ben Moussa 🔁
↦ L. Bernadou
77′
80′
ℹ️ Ahmed Kutucu
VAR: Goal cancelled
Michael Verrips 🟨
82′
82′
R. Vloet 1–1
85′
🔁 O. Kiomourtzoglou
↦ R. Vloet
2–1 M. de Leeuw
M. Araujo
89′
3–1 M. de Leeuw
91′
R. de Vos 🔁
↦ S. Peña
94′
D. La Torre 🔁
↦ J. Vlak
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
28 M. Verrips G
22 C. Cavlan D
5 M. Araujo D
3 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl D
31 K. Frei M
10 S. Peña M
77 L. Adžić M
24 L. Bernadou M
20 J. Vlak M
8 M. de Leeuw F
Bench (12)
17 P. Gladon
21 H. Ben Moussa
32 R. de Vos
15 D. La Torre
7 S. Tibbling
14 F. Görgülü
11 N. Laursen
35 J. Rhyner
26 D. Telgenkamp
34 R. van Rhijn
19 B. Scholte
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: D. Lukkien

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
20 K. Jakobsen F
9 S. Bakış F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (11)
25 A. Kutucu
18 I. Azzaoui
17 A. Szőke
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou
26 K. Bucker
19 N. Bakboord
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
16 M. Brouwer
28 E. Sierra-Cappelleti
22 M. Leš
4 R. Pröpper

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,37
B
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,87
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.