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Eredivisie

Referee: Joey Kooij

Groningen

T T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

3,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,9

0,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

50%

88%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,4

4,3

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,5

3,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 13. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+21	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
4	Vitesse	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Feyenoord	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Twente	8	3	3	2	+0	12
9	Willem II	8	4	0	4	-3	12
10	Heracles	8	3	2	3	-3	11
11	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	+2	10
12	VVV Venlo	8	3	0	5	-7	9
13	Groningen	8	2	1	5	-5	7
14	FC Emmen	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Zwolle	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	For Sittard	8	0	3	5	-13	3
18	Waalwijk	8	0	1	7	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Feyenoord	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Heerenveen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Twente	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-10	1
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.