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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Ajax

S S S S U

5–0

Full-time

For Sittard

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

4,0

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

4,0

Scored

3,3

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

25 Shots 4

13 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 2. · For Sittard 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	2	0	+13	17
2	Ajax	6	4	2	0	+14	14
3	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+10	13
5	Twente	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Willem II	7	4	0	3	-1	12
7	Utrecht	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Heracles	7	3	2	2	-1	11
10	Feyenoord	6	2	4	0	+2	10
11	VVV Venlo	7	3	0	4	-4	9
12	Heerenveen	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Groningen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Den Haag	7	2	0	5	-3	6
16	FC Emmen	7	1	1	5	-9	4
17	For Sittard	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	VVV Venlo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Heerenveen	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	2	2	0	+6	8
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Twente	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Heracles	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Utrecht	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	FC Emmen	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.