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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Utrecht
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Vitesse
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,2
4,8
Scored
1,8
3,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
41%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 64%
50%
78%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 5. · Vitesse 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 34 28 2 4 +87 86
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 26 5 3 +72 83
3 Feyenoord 34 20 5 9 +34 65
4 AZ Alkmaar 34 17 7 10 +21 58
5 Utrecht 32 15 7 10 +9 52
6 Vitesse 32 13 10 9 +16 49
7 Heracles 34 15 3 16 -6 48
8 Groningen 34 13 6 15 +0 45
9 Den Haag 34 12 9 13 -5 45
10 Willem II 34 13 5 16 -14 44
11 Heerenveen 34 10 11 13 -9 41
12 VVV Venlo 34 11 8 15 -16 41
13 Zwolle 34 11 6 17 -13 39
14 FC Emmen 34 10 8 16 -31 38
15 For Sittard 34 9 7 18 -30 34
16 Excelsior 34 9 6 19 -33 33
17 De Graafschap 34 8 5 21 -37 29
18 NAC Breda 34 5 8 21 -45 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Vitesse
1–0 S. van de Streek
G. Kerk
18′
23′
🟨 Thulani Serero
31′
T. Matavž 1–1
M. Dauda
Half-time 1–1
65′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ T. Matavž
74′
🔁 M. Clark
↦ A. Büttner
Lukas Görtler 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Bryan Linssen
U. Emanuelson 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
81′
M. Kramer 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
81′
M. van der Maarel 🔁
↦ L. Görtler
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
16 N. Marsman G
14 W. Janssen D
13 E. Bergström D
17 S. Klaiber D
6 R. Strieder M
22 S. van de Streek M
24 N. Gavory D
10 Simon Gustafson M
27 L. Görtler M
7 G. Kerk F
11 C. Dessers F
Bench (7)
28 U. Emanuelson
30 M. Kramer
2 M. van der Maarel
31 T. Nijhuis
41 M. Paes
33 C. Mamengi
29 N. Venema

Coach: D. Advocaat

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
22 R. Pasveer G
28 A. Büttner D
3 M. van der Werff D
8 V. Karavaev D
30 D. Doekhi D
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
18 M. Ødegaard M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen M
10 M. Dauda M
Bench (6)
29 T. Buitink
5 M. Clark
26 R. Thelander
23 M. Ali
1 Eduardo
38 R. Musaba

Coach: L. Slutskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.