Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rennes
Strasbourg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | +35 | +33.8 | 50 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +17 | +4.9 | 37 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +12 | +21.9 | 37 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +13 | +7.7 | 35 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | +13 | +11.5 | 34 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +7 | +10.1 | 33 |
| 7 |
Lyon
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +7 | +5.7 | 30 |
| 8 |
Brest
|
20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | -5 | -12.1 | 28 |
| 9 |
Strasbourg
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +2 | -8.1 | 27 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -1 | +8.4 | 26 |
| 11 |
Auxerre
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -6 | -11.6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Reims
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -2 | -7.4 | 22 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -7 | -5.0 | 22 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -7 | -8.0 | 18 |
| 15 |
St Etienne
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -24 | -19.4 | 18 |
| 16 |
Rennes
|
19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -4 | -0.6 | 17 |
| 17 |
Montpellier
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -26 | -16.2 | 15 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | -24 | -15.5 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Samba
G
H. Hateboer
D
L. Brassier
D
J. James
M
A. Truffert
M
L. Blas
F
A. Kalimuendo
F
Coach: H. Beye
Đ. Petrović
G
M. Sarr
D
A. Omobamidele
D
I. Doukouré
D
G. Doué
M
H. Diarra
M
Andrey Santos
M
Diego Moreira
M
A. Ouattara
F
E. Emegha
F
F. Lemaréchal
F
Coach: L. Rosenior
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Monaco
Rennes
Rennes
Brest
Troyes
Rennes
Rennes
Marseille
Nice
Rennes
S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.