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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Rennes
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Strasbourg
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
26%
37%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
63%
68%
Both score Ø 66%
53%
79%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,91 xG 1,19
45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 16. · Strasbourg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 15 5 0 +35 +33.8 50
2 Marseille 19 11 4 4 +17 +4.9 37
3 Monaco 20 11 4 5 +12 +21.9 37
4 Lille 20 9 8 3 +13 +7.7 35
5 Nice 20 9 7 4 +13 +11.5 34
6 Lens 20 9 6 5 +7 +10.1 33
7 Lyon 19 8 6 5 +7 +5.7 30
8 Brest 20 9 1 10 -5 -12.1 28
9 Strasbourg 19 7 6 6 +2 -8.1 27
10 Toulouse 20 7 5 8 -1 +8.4 26
11 Auxerre 20 6 5 9 -6 -11.6 23
12 Reims 19 5 7 7 -2 -7.4 22
13 Angers 19 6 4 9 -7 -5.0 22
14 Nantes 19 3 9 7 -7 -8.0 18
15 St Etienne 20 5 3 12 -24 -19.4 18
16 Rennes 19 5 2 12 -4 -0.6 17
17 Montpellier 20 4 3 13 -26 -16.2 15
18 Le Havre 19 4 1 14 -24 -15.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Strasbourg
Djaoui Cissé 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–0
N. Ahamada 🔁
↦ D. Cissé
55′
M. Meïté 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
66′
M. Faye 🔁
↦ L. Brassier
66′
Brice Samba 🟨
71′
75′
🟨 Diego Moreira
81′
🔁 S. Mara
↦ F. Lemaréchal
81′
🔁 J. Sebas
↦ A. Ouattara
Jordan James 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Ismael Doukoure
1–0 L. Blas
89′
91′
🟨 Habib Diarra
C. Gómez 🔁
↦ A. Kalimuendo
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rennes

3-4-3
1 B. Samba G
33 H. Hateboer D
4 C. Wooh D
5 L. Brassier D
22 L. Assignon M
17 J. James M
38 D. Cissé M
3 A. Truffert M
11 L. Blas F
7 K. Furuhashi F
9 A. Kalimuendo F
Bench (9)
32 N. Ahamada
62 M. Meïté
15 M. Faye
20 C. Gómez
18 A. Nagida
55 L. Østigård
61 J. Coulibaly
48 A. Aït Boudlal
30 S. Mandanda

Coach: H. Beye

Strasbourg

3-4-3
1 Đ. Petrović G
23 M. Sarr D
2 A. Omobamidele D
29 I. Doukouré D
22 G. Doué M
19 H. Diarra M
8 Andrey Santos M
7 Diego Moreira M
42 A. Ouattara F
10 E. Emegha F
6 F. Lemaréchal F
Bench (9)
14 S. Mara
40 J. Sebas
77 E. Sobol
39 S. El Mourabet
17 P. Diong
28 M. Senaya
30 K. Johnsson
47 R. Messi
5 A. Sylla

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,47
B
3,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.