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Ligue 1

Referee: M Vernice

Reims

U S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Rennes

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,39 xG 0,79

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reims 15. · Rennes 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.2	7
2	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
3	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.5	7
4	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
5	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+9	+5.8	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
7	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.1	4
8	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.4	3
9	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
10	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
11	Brest	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
12	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.0	3
13	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
14	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
15	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	-4.3	1
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.2	1
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0
18	St Etienne	3	0	0	3	-7	-5.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+6	+3.2	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
8	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
9	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
12	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
14	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.4	1
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
17	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
18	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
2	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
6	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
7	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
8	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
10	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
11	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
12	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
13	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
14	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
15	Brest	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
16	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
17	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.5	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-6	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.