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Europa League
Referee: H Lechner
Villarreal
S T U T U
1–0
Full-time
Rennes
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,31 xG 2,04
48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal Rennes
27′
🟨 Désiré Doué
1–0 A. Sørloth ⚽
36′
Yéremy Pino 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Alberto Moreno 🟨
50′
Alejandro Baena 🟨
54′
José Luis Morales 🔁
↦ Yeremy Pino
57′
Alfonso Pedraza 🔁
↦ Álex Baena
57′
58′
🟨 Adrien Truffert
64′
🔁 A. Kalimuendo
↦ B. Yıldırım
64′
🔁 A. Gouiri
↦ I. Salah
73′
🔁 E. Le Fée
↦ B. Bourigeaud
73′
🔁 N. Matić
↦ B. Santamaría
Santi Comesaña 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
74′
78′
ℹ️ Arnaud Kalimuendo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
81′
🔁 M. Terrier
↦ D. Doué
Raúl Albiol 🔁
↦ Alberto Moreno
85′
Ramon Terrats 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
85′
Alfonso Pedraza 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
1 Pepe Reina G
17 Kiko Femenía D
2 M. Gabbia D
23 A. Mandi D
18 Alberto Moreno D
6 É. Capoue M
10 Dani Parejo M
21 Yeremy Pino M
14 Manu Trigueros M
16 Álex Baena M
11 A. Sørloth F
Bench (10)
15 José Luis Morales
24 Alfonso Pedraza
4 Santi Comesaña
3 Raúl Albiol
20 Ramon Terrats
9 B. Brereton
5 Jorge Cuenca
26 Adrià Alti
27 Ilias Akhomach
13 F. Jørgensen

Coach: Miguel Tena

Rennes

4-2-3-1
30 S. Mandanda G
17 G. Doué D
23 W. Omari D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
8 B. Santamaría M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
11 L. Blas M
33 D. Doué M
34 I. Salah M
99 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (12)
9 A. Kalimuendo
10 A. Gouiri
28 E. Le Fée
21 N. Matić
7 M. Terrier
40 G. Lembet
22 L. Assignon
16 J. Belocian
38 M. Jaouab
1 G. Gallon
32 F. Rieder
15 C. Wooh

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.