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Champions League
Referee: Jesús Gil
PSV Eindhoven
U S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Monaco
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 30
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 12
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 12
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Aug -22 Monaco – PSV Eindhoven 1–1

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Monaco
Guus Til 🟨
7′
1–0 J. Veerman ⚽
P. Mwene
21′
Ibrahim Sangaré 🟨
23′
35′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Embolo
↦ K. Volland
53′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ I. Jakobs
53′
🔁 K. Diatta
↦ A. Golovin
58′
⚽ G. Maripán 1–1
André Ramalho 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
65′
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ G. Til
65′
68′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ T. Minamino
70′
⚽ W. Ben Yedder 1–2
Gelson Martins
F. Oppegård 🔁
↦ P. Max
77′
J. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ P. Mwene
77′
78′
🟨 Vanderson
82′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Armando Obispo 🟨
84′
M. van Ginkel 🔁
↦ A. Obispo
88′
89′
🟨 Eliot Matazo
2–2 É. Gutiérrez ⚽
L. de Jong
89′
105′
🔁 Jean Lucas
↦ E. Matazo
J. Branthwaite 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
107′
3–2 L. de Jong ⚽
J. Teze
109′
120′
🟨 Guillermo Maripán
André Ramalho 🟨
121′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
29 P. Mwene D
3 J. Teze D
4 A. Obispo M
31 P. Max D
6 I. Sangaré M
20 G. Til D
23 J. Veerman M
28 I. Saibari F
9 L. de Jong F
11 C. Gakpo F
Bench (12)
5 André Ramalho
15 É. Gutiérrez
35 F. Oppegård
27 J. Bakayoko
8 M. van Ginkel
22 J. Branthwaite
33 Sávio
24 B. Waterman
7 X. Simons
16 J. Drommel
2 K. Hoever
37 R. Ledezma

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Monaco

4-4-2
16 A. Nübel G
2 Vanderson D
6 A. Disasi D
3 G. Maripán M
14 I. Jakobs D
18 T. Minamino M
19 Y. Fofana D
15 E. Matazo M
17 A. Golovin M
10 W. Ben Yedder F
31 K. Volland F
Bench (12)
36 B. Embolo
12 Caio Henrique
27 K. Diatta
77 Gelson Martins
7 S. Diop
11 Jean Lucas
21 M. Akliouche
26 R. Aguilar
50 Y. Lienard
34 C. Matsima
41 S. Magassa
30 T. Didillon

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.