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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Nantes

T U S U T

1–2

Full-time

Nice

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 18. · Nice 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	-1	11
5	Marseille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Lyon	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Dijon	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	-2	9
9	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Reims	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Angers	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Bordeaux	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Rennes	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Nice	6	2	1	3	-4	7
16	Monaco	6	1	3	2	+0	6
17	Caen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-3	4
20	Guingamp	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Lille	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Lyon	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	Toulouse	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Rennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Angers	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Reims	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Amiens	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Dijon	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Nice	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Caen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Monaco	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Nantes	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Dijon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Nimes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Monaco	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Caen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Reims	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Angers	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Nantes	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Marseille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rennes	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Amiens	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Guingamp	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.