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Ligue 1

Referee: Mikael Lesage

Metz

T T T U S

3–3

Full-time

Lorient

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

38%

15%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

54%

Both score Ø 31%

23%

38%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 12. · Lorient 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	14	10	2	2	+28	32
2	Nice	13	10	2	1	+16	32
3	Paris SG	13	9	2	2	+19	29
4	Rennes	14	7	3	4	-2	24
5	Lyon	13	7	1	5	+5	22
6	Guingamp	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Bordeaux	13	5	5	3	+2	20
8	Toulouse	14	5	4	5	+4	19
9	St Etienne	13	4	6	3	+3	18
10	Angers	13	5	3	5	+0	18
11	Marseille	14	4	5	5	-4	17
12	Metz	13	5	2	6	-9	17
13	Montpellier	13	3	6	4	-7	15
14	Dijon	13	3	5	5	-2	14
15	Caen	13	4	1	8	-12	13
16	Bastia	13	3	3	7	-3	12
17	Nantes	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Nancy	13	3	3	7	-11	12
19	Lille	13	3	1	9	-9	10
20	Lorient	13	2	1	10	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	8	6	2	0	+8	20
2	Monaco	7	6	1	0	+20	19
3	Nice	7	6	1	0	+12	19
4	Paris SG	7	5	2	0	+14	17
5	Marseille	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Guingamp	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	Toulouse	6	4	0	2	+6	12
8	Dijon	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Lyon	6	4	0	2	+5	12
10	St Etienne	7	3	3	1	+4	12
11	Caen	6	4	0	2	-3	12
12	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Angers	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Bordeaux	6	3	2	1	+2	11
15	Bastia	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Lille	7	3	0	4	-3	9
17	Nancy	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Lorient	7	2	1	4	-7	7
19	Metz	6	2	1	3	-9	7
20	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+8	13
2	Nice	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+0	10
5	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Bordeaux	7	2	3	2	+0	9
7	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	+1	8
8	Toulouse	8	1	4	3	-2	7
9	Angers	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Nancy	6	1	2	3	-7	5
13	Montpellier	7	0	4	3	-10	4
14	Rennes	6	1	1	4	-10	4
15	Bastia	6	1	0	5	-3	3
16	Dijon	6	0	2	4	-7	2
17	Marseille	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Lille	6	0	1	5	-6	1
19	Caen	7	0	1	6	-9	1
20	Lorient	6	0	0	6	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.