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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Dijon
S U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
46%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
31%
69%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 19. · Strasbourg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 36 28 4 4 +68 88
2 Lille 35 20 9 6 +31 69
3 Lyon 35 18 9 8 +15 63
4 St Etienne 36 18 8 10 +15 62
5 Montpellier 36 15 13 8 +12 58
6 Marseille 35 16 7 12 +7 55
7 Nice 35 14 10 11 -4 52
8 Nimes 35 14 7 14 -1 49
9 Reims 35 11 16 8 -5 49
10 Strasbourg 35 10 16 9 +12 46
11 Nantes 35 13 7 15 +1 46
12 Angers 36 10 15 11 +0 45
13 Rennes 35 11 12 12 -1 45
14 Bordeaux 35 9 11 15 -7 38
15 Toulouse 35 8 13 14 -18 37
16 Amiens 35 8 10 17 -20 34
17 Monaco 35 7 12 16 -18 33
18 Caen 35 6 12 17 -21 30
19 Dijon 35 7 7 21 -27 28
20 Guingamp 35 5 10 20 -39 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Strasbourg
Florent Balmont 🟨
14′
1–0 Júlio Tavares
40′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 Nuno Da Costa
↦ S. Prcić
63′
🔁 Y. Fofana
↦ L. Carole
68′
L. Ajorque 1–1
Kwon Chang-Hoon 🔁
↦ F. Balmont
75′
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ W. Saïd
82′
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ N. Sliti
82′
84′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ L. Mothiba
89′
🟨 Ludovic Ajorque
2–1 Kwon Chang-Hoon
Júlio Tavares
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
1 R. Rúnarsson G
5 O. Haddadi D
24 W. Lautoa D
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
15 F. Balmont M
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
11 Júlio Tavares F
9 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon
7 F. Sammaritano
28 S. Kaba
16 B. Allain
25 S. Coulibaly
12 E. Loiodice
2 M. Alphonse

Coach: A. Kombouare

Strasbourg

3-1-4-2
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole M
27 K. Lala M
3 A. N'Dour D
17 A. Gonçalves M
14 S. Prcić M
26 A. Thomasson M
25 L. Ajorque F
12 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
29 Nuno Da Costa
22 Y. Fofana
18 I. Sissoko
11 D. Liénard
10 B. Corgnet
30 B. Kamara
19 A. Caci

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.