Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bayern Munich
Augsburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | +45 | 52 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +35 | 51 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | +36 | 50 |
| 4 |
Leverkusen
|
25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | +15 | 47 |
| 5 |
M'gladbach
|
24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +18 | 46 |
| 6 |
Schalke 04
|
25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 |
Wolfsburg
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +4 | 36 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Hoffenheim
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 |
FC Koln
|
24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 11 |
Union Berlin
|
25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 |
Augsburg
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 27 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | -19 | 25 |
| 16 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -23 | 21 |
| 17 |
Werder Bremen
|
24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -28 | 18 |
| 18 |
Paderborn
|
25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -24 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Neuer
G
J. Kimmich
M
B. Pavard
D
S. Gnabry
M
A. Davies
D
J. Zirkzee
F
Coach: H. Flick
J. Gouweleeuw
D
R. Khedira
M
M. Richter
M
Coach: M. Schmidt
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Paderborn
FC Koln
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Bayern Munich
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.