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Bundesliga
Referee: B Steinhaus
Bayern Munich
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Augsburg
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
3,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
67%
29%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
88%
67%
Both score Ø 65%
63%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,6
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
4 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Augsburg 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 16 4 4 +45 52
2 Dortmund 25 15 6 4 +35 51
3 RB Leipzig 25 14 8 3 +36 50
4 Leverkusen 25 14 5 6 +15 47
5 M'gladbach 24 14 4 6 +18 46
6 Schalke 04 25 9 10 6 -3 37
7 Wolfsburg 25 9 9 7 +4 36
8 Freiburg 25 10 6 9 -1 36
9 Hoffenheim 25 10 5 10 -8 35
10 FC Koln 24 10 2 12 -5 32
11 Union Berlin 25 9 3 13 -9 30
12 Ein Frankfurt 24 8 4 12 -3 28
13 Hertha 25 7 7 11 -16 28
14 Augsburg 24 7 6 11 -14 27
15 Mainz 24 8 1 15 -19 25
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 5 6 13 -23 21
17 Werder Bremen 24 4 6 14 -28 18
18 Paderborn 25 4 4 17 -24 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Augsburg
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Müller
J. Boateng
53′
67′
🔁 R. Vargas
↦ P. Max
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ J. Zirkzee
70′
76′
🔁 A. Finnbogason
↦ E. Löwen
80′
🔁 F. Uduokhai
↦ T. Jedvaj
Thiago Alcántara 🟨
85′
L. Hernández 🔁
↦ Philippe Coutinho
85′
Javi Martínez 🔁
↦ Thiago Alcântara
85′
2–0 L. Goretzka
S. Gnabry
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
17 J. Boateng D
27 D. Alaba D
32 J. Kimmich M
5 B. Pavard D
6 Thiago Alcântara M
10 Philippe Coutinho M
22 S. Gnabry M
19 A. Davies D
25 T. Müller M
35 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (8)
18 L. Goretzka
21 L. Hernández
8 Javi Martínez
16 L. Dajaku
2 Odriozola
24 C. Tolisso
11 M. Cuisance
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: H. Flick

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
1 A. Luthe G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
18 T. Jedvaj D
31 P. Max M
32 R. Framberger D
22 Iago D
10 D. Baier M
8 R. Khedira M
29 E. Löwen M
7 F. Niederlechner F
23 M. Richter M
Bench (9)
16 R. Vargas
27 A. Finnbogason
19 F. Uduokhai
25 C. Gruezo
21 T. Koubek
5 M. Suchý
2 S. Lichtsteiner
28 A. Hahn
9 S. Córdova

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,09
U
11,11
B
25,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,19
U2,5 ✓
4,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.