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Bundesliga

Referee: J Weinberger

Salzburg

S U T U T

2–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,7

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 53%

62%

43%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

86%

52%

Both score Ø 62%

71%

52%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

3,4

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 2. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	21	16	3	2	+29	51
2	Salzburg	21	13	6	2	+46	45
3	SK Rapid	22	11	7	4	+21	40
4	Wolfsberger AC	22	11	5	6	+23	38
5	Sturm Graz	21	9	5	7	+11	32
6	Hartberg	22	8	5	9	-14	29
7	Austria Vienna	22	5	10	7	-3	25
8	Altach	22	7	3	12	-10	24
9	Admira	22	4	7	11	-21	19
10	Tirol	22	5	4	13	-24	19
11	Mattersburg	21	5	3	13	-25	18
12	St. Polten	22	3	8	11	-33	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	8	1	1	+29	25
2	LASK	11	6	3	2	+12	21
3	Wolfsberger AC	11	5	3	3	+12	18
4	Hartberg	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	SK Rapid	11	4	4	3	+6	16
6	Austria Vienna	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Sturm Graz	11	4	2	5	+1	14
8	Altach	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Admira	11	2	3	6	-8	9
10	Tirol	11	2	2	7	-15	8
11	St. Polten	11	1	4	6	-18	7
12	Mattersburg	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	10	10	0	0	+17	30
2	SK Rapid	11	7	3	1	+15	24
3	Salzburg	11	5	5	1	+17	20
4	Wolfsberger AC	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	Sturm Graz	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Mattersburg	11	4	1	6	-11	13
7	Tirol	11	3	2	6	-9	11
8	Hartberg	11	3	2	6	-16	11
9	Altach	11	3	1	7	-9	10
10	Admira	11	2	4	5	-13	10
11	St. Polten	11	2	4	5	-15	10
12	Austria Vienna	11	1	6	4	-6	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.