Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | +29 | 51 |
| 2 |
Cracovia
|
26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | +10 | 42 |
| 3 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +5 | 42 |
| 4 |
Lech Poznan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +20 | 41 |
| 5 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +4 | 40 |
| 6 |
Piast Gliwice
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 40 |
| 7 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 37 |
| 9 |
Wisla Plock
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 |
Rakow
|
25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 |
Zaglebie
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 33 |
| 12 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -18 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wisla Plock
Rakow
Rakow
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
Rakow
Rakow
Legia
Lech Poznan
Rakow
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.