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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoit Millot

Lille

T T S T U

2–2

Full-time

Lyon

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 42%

28%

56%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

68%

Both score Ø 46%

36%

56%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

0,9

2,2

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 18. · Lyon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	26	22	2	2	+62	68
2	Monaco	26	17	5	4	+38	56
3	Marseille	25	15	7	3	+26	52
4	Lyon	25	14	6	5	+24	48
5	Nantes	26	11	6	9	+0	39
6	Montpellier	26	9	11	6	+3	38
7	Bordeaux	25	10	5	10	-2	35
8	Rennes	26	10	5	11	-3	35
9	Nice	26	10	5	11	-6	35
10	Guingamp	26	9	7	10	-7	34
11	St Etienne	26	9	6	11	-13	33
12	Caen	26	9	5	12	-10	32
13	Dijon	25	9	4	12	-16	31
14	Strasbourg	26	8	6	12	-15	30
15	Troyes	25	8	3	14	-10	27
16	Toulouse	26	7	6	13	-11	27
17	Amiens	26	7	5	14	-8	26
18	Lille	25	7	5	13	-16	26
19	Angers	26	5	10	11	-12	25
20	Metz	26	5	3	18	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	13	0	0	+42	39
2	Monaco	14	11	2	1	+26	35
3	Marseille	12	8	3	1	+19	27
4	Dijon	13	8	2	3	+7	26
5	Nice	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Lyon	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Montpellier	14	5	6	3	+4	21
8	Strasbourg	13	6	3	4	+2	21
9	Caen	14	6	3	5	-1	21
10	Bordeaux	12	6	2	4	+2	20
11	Guingamp	13	5	5	3	+2	20
12	Nantes	12	6	2	4	+2	20
13	Troyes	13	6	2	5	+1	20
14	St Etienne	13	5	5	3	-1	20
15	Amiens	13	5	3	5	+2	18
16	Toulouse	12	5	3	4	+2	18
17	Rennes	12	5	1	6	-4	16
18	Lille	12	4	3	5	-4	15
19	Angers	13	3	4	6	-9	13
20	Metz	13	3	1	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	9	2	2	+20	29
2	Lyon	13	8	2	3	+16	26
3	Marseille	13	7	4	2	+7	25
4	Monaco	12	6	3	3	+12	21
5	Rennes	14	5	4	5	+1	19
6	Nantes	14	5	4	5	-2	19
7	Montpellier	12	4	5	3	-1	17
8	Bordeaux	13	4	3	6	-4	15
9	Guingamp	13	4	2	7	-9	14
10	St Etienne	13	4	1	8	-12	13
11	Angers	13	2	6	5	-3	12
12	Nice	12	3	3	6	-8	12
13	Caen	12	3	2	7	-9	11
14	Lille	13	3	2	8	-12	11
15	Toulouse	14	2	3	9	-13	9
16	Strasbourg	13	2	3	8	-17	9
17	Amiens	13	2	2	9	-10	8
18	Metz	13	2	2	9	-13	8
19	Troyes	12	2	1	9	-11	7
20	Dijon	12	1	2	9	-23	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.