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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Kasimpasa
U T T S U
5–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 19%
21%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 16. · Kayserispor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buyuksehyr 25 15 7 3 +25 52
2 Trabzonspor 24 14 7 3 +29 49
3 Galatasaray 24 14 6 4 +24 48
4 Sivasspor 24 14 6 4 +19 48
5 Besiktas 25 13 4 8 +8 43
6 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +13 40
7 Alanyaspor 24 11 6 7 +18 39
8 Goztep 24 9 7 8 +1 34
9 Gaziantep 25 8 8 9 -4 32
10 Denizlispor 25 7 7 11 -9 28
11 Genclerbirligi 24 7 6 11 -10 27
12 Antalyaspor 24 6 8 10 -15 26
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 24 6 7 11 +1 25
14 Rizespor 23 7 3 13 -15 24
15 Konyaspor 25 4 11 10 -13 23
16 Kasimpasa 24 5 5 14 -18 20
17 Ankaragücü 25 4 8 13 -23 20
18 Kayserispor 24 4 7 13 -31 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Kayserispor
1–0 F. Koita
O. Haddadi
6′
2–0 Z. Šarlija
11′
3–0 D. Ndongala
F. Koita
30′
Aytaç Kara 🟨
40′
Half-time 3–1
59′
B. Mensah 3–1
M. Mešanović
Mickael Tirpan 🟨
62′
T. Serbest 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
67′
70′
🟨 Gustavo Campanharo
71′
🔁 M. Šitum
↦ A. Kravets
Y. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ D. Ndongala
74′
4–1 A. Kara
O. Haddadi
83′
G. Gohou 🔁
↦ F. Koita
85′
85′
🔁 A. Aktaş
↦ B. Dja Djédjé
5–1 Y. Erdoğan
R. Köse
87′
Yassine Meriah 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Aksel Aktaş
90′
🟨 Cristian Săpunaru
90′
🟨 Bernard Mensah
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 R. Köse G
92 O. Haddadi D
24 M. Tirpan M
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
80 Y. Meriah D
50 Z. Šarlija D
35 A. Kara M
70 D. Ndongala M
10 H. Hajradinović M
9 F. Koita F
11 M. Thiam M
Bench (10)
15 T. Serbest
7 Y. Erdoğan
30 G. Gohou
44 Jorge Fernandes
3 D. Haspolat
2 B. Çetin
13 M. Yıldız
26 İ. Depe
71 A. Koç
17 Ricardo Quaresma

Coach: F. Çapa

Kayserispor

4-1-4-1
33 S. Lung G
86 Diego Ângelo D
84 C. Săpunaru D
27 B. Dja Djédjé M
3 E. Taşdemir D
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
10 Pedro Henrique M
18 Z. Kvržić D
43 B. Mensah M
11 A. Kravets F
21 M. Mešanović M
Bench (10)
92 M. Šitum
20 A. Aktaş
24 M. Kula
14 E. Demir
32 Y. Subaşı
8 H. Acar
38 B. Rienstra
70 C. Şahin
95 İ. Çipe
44 O. Çapar

Coach: O. Mahir

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,80
B
4,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.