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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Pacos Ferreira

T T T S S

1–2

Full-time

Guimaraes

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

42%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 17. · Guimaraes 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	26	21	3	2	+42	66
2	Benfica	26	20	3	3	+39	63
3	Sp Braga	26	15	4	7	+16	49
4	Sp Lisbon	25	14	3	8	+13	45
5	Rio Ave	25	11	8	6	+10	41
6	Famalicao	25	11	7	7	+1	40
7	Guimaraes	24	9	8	7	+14	35
8	Gil Vicente	26	8	10	8	-3	34
9	Moreirense	26	7	11	8	+2	32
10	Santa Clara	25	8	7	10	-7	31
11	Boavista	25	7	8	10	-5	29
12	Setubal	24	6	10	8	-10	28
13	Vitoria Setubal	24	6	10	8	-10	28
14	Tondela	26	6	8	12	-13	26
15	Belenenses	25	7	5	13	-20	26
16	Maritimo	25	5	10	10	-10	25
17	Pacos Ferreira	24	6	4	14	-16	22
18	Portimonense	26	2	12	12	-18	18
19	Aves	25	4	1	20	-25	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	13	11	1	1	+24	34
2	Benfica	13	10	1	2	+22	31
3	Sp Braga	13	8	3	2	+9	27
4	Sp Lisbon	12	8	0	4	+7	24
5	Famalicao	13	7	3	3	+5	24
6	Moreirense	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Guimaraes	12	6	2	4	+10	20
8	Rio Ave	13	5	5	3	+5	20
9	Gil Vicente	13	4	7	2	+2	19
10	Setubal	12	3	6	3	-4	15
11	Vitoria Setubal	12	3	6	3	-4	15
12	Santa Clara	13	4	3	6	-6	15
13	Maritimo	12	3	5	4	+0	14
14	Pacos Ferreira	13	4	2	7	-4	14
15	Belenenses	13	4	2	7	-11	14
16	Boavista	12	3	4	5	-2	13
17	Portimonense	12	1	7	4	-4	10
18	Aves	12	3	0	9	-8	9
19	Tondela	13	1	5	7	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	13	10	2	1	+18	32
2	Benfica	13	10	2	1	+17	32
3	Sp Braga	13	7	1	5	+7	22
4	Sp Lisbon	13	6	3	4	+6	21
5	Rio Ave	12	6	3	3	+5	21
6	Tondela	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Santa Clara	12	4	4	4	-1	16
8	Boavista	13	4	4	5	-3	16
9	Famalicao	12	4	4	4	-4	16
10	Guimaraes	12	3	6	3	+4	15
11	Gil Vicente	13	4	3	6	-5	15
12	Setubal	12	3	4	5	-6	13
13	Vitoria Setubal	12	3	4	5	-6	13
14	Belenenses	12	3	3	6	-9	12
15	Maritimo	13	2	5	6	-10	11
16	Moreirense	13	1	7	5	-3	10
17	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Portimonense	14	1	5	8	-14	8
19	Aves	13	1	1	11	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.