Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Como
Empoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | +38 | +29.1 | 64 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | +22 | +19.4 | 61 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | +35 | +22.6 | 58 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +15 | +12.3 | 53 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
29 | 13 | 13 | 3 | +17 | +12.5 | 52 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +9 | +11.6 | 51 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +14 | +9.8 | 49 |
| 8 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +16 | +4.8 | 48 |
| 9 |
Milan
|
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +11 | +17.1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Udinese
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | -4 | -7.2 | 40 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +0 | -13.7 | 38 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | -9 | -6.3 | 35 |
| 13 |
Como
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -11 | +0.5 | 29 |
| 14 |
Verona
|
29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | -29 | -16.8 | 29 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -16 | -11.9 | 26 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -14 | -14.4 | 25 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -27 | -20.0 | 25 |
| 18 |
Empoli
|
29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -23 | -14.8 | 22 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -19 | -17.8 | 20 |
| 20 |
Monza
|
29 | 2 | 9 | 18 | -25 | -16.7 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Butez
G
M. Vojvoda
D
E. Goldaniga
D
M. Kempf
D
Alberto Moreno
D
L. da Cunha
M
Gabriel Strefezza
M
M. Caqueret
M
Assane Diao
M
P. Cutrone
F
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
S. Goglichidze
D
M. Viti
D
E. Gyasi
M
A. Grassi
M
L. Henderson
M
G. Pezzella
M
S. Esposito
F
C. Kouamé
F
Coach: R. D'Aversa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Milan
Como
Como
Venezia
Roma
Como
Como
Napoli
Fiorentina
Como
M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.