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Serie A

Referee: M Marcenaro

Juventus

U U S U S

3–0

Full-time

Como

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,20 xG 0,17

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 1

9 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 0

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.2	3
2	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
4	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
5	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
7	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
11	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
17	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
3	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
4	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
6	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
7	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
8	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
9	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.2	3
2	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
3	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
4	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
5	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
6	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
7	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
9	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.