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Serie B
Perugia
U U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Monza
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 43%
35%
51%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
30%
46%
Both score Ø 51%
51%
51%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

21 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 7
10 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 9. · Monza 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lecce 37 18 14 5 +27 68
2 Monza 37 19 10 8 +23 67
3 Cremonese 37 19 9 9 +17 66
4 Pisa 37 17 13 7 +12 64
5 Benevento 37 18 9 10 +24 63
6 Brescia 37 16 15 6 +17 63
7 Ascoli 37 18 8 11 +7 62
8 Frosinone 37 15 13 9 +14 58
9 Perugia 37 13 16 8 +7 55
10 Ternana 37 15 9 13 +0 54
11 Cittadella 37 13 13 11 +3 52
12 Parma 38 11 16 11 +5 49
13 Reggina 37 13 9 15 -15 48
14 Como 37 11 14 12 -4 47
15 Spal 37 8 15 14 -9 39
16 Alessandria 37 8 10 19 -21 34
17 Cosenza 37 7 11 19 -24 32
18 Vicenza 37 8 7 22 -22 31
19 Crotone 38 4 14 20 -20 26
20 Pordenone 37 3 9 25 -41 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Jan -22 Monza – Perugia 2–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,94
U
3,66
B
1,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.