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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Empoli
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
23%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
36%
64%
Both score Ø 43%
18%
68%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 24
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 17. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 21 17 0 4 +28 51
2 Napoli 23 14 6 3 +29 48
3 Roma 22 15 2 5 +23 47
4 Inter 22 13 3 6 +14 42
5 Lazio 22 12 4 6 +10 40
6 Atalanta 22 12 3 7 +9 39
7 Fiorentina 22 10 7 5 +9 37
8 Milan 22 11 4 7 +5 37
9 Torino 22 8 7 7 +7 31
10 Sampdoria 23 8 6 9 -3 30
11 Udinese 22 8 4 10 -2 28
12 Chievo 22 8 4 10 -8 28
13 Bologna 22 7 6 9 -11 27
14 Cagliari 22 8 3 11 -14 27
15 Genoa 22 6 7 9 -5 25
16 Sassuolo 22 7 3 12 -6 24
17 Empoli 22 5 6 11 -17 21
18 Crotone 21 3 4 14 -17 13
19 Palermo 22 2 5 15 -24 11
20 Pescara 22 1 6 15 -27 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Torino
U. Ćosić 🔁
↦ A. Costa
10′
11′
A. Belotti 0–1
A. Ljajić
33′
🟨 Mirko Valdifiori
Rade Krunić 🟨
39′
Omar El Kaddouri 🟨
42′
Levan Mch'edlidze 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Pucciarelli
47′
Assane Dioussé 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Daniele Baselli
Giuseppe Bellusci 🟨
59′
69′
🔁 J. Obi
↦ D. Baselli
74′
🔁 J. Iturbe
↦ Iago Falqué
M. Zajc 🔁
↦ O. El Kaddouri
79′
80′
🟨 Juan Iturbe
82′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ M. Valdifiori
86′
🟨 Joel Obi
Federico Dimarco 🟨
90′
F. Dimarco 🔁
↦ M. Pasqual
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
28 Ł. Skorupski
21 M. Pasqual D
6 G. Bellusci D
15 A. Costa D
2 V. Laurini D
11 D. Croce M
10 O. El Kaddouri M
33 R. Krunić M
8 A. El Hadji M
9 L. Mchedlidze F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
24 U. Ćosić
17 M. Zajc
4 F. Dimarco
27 M. Thiam
7 M. Maccarone
77 M. Büchel
13 F. Veseli
3 M. Zambelli
88 A. Tello
89 G. Marilungo
5 J. Mauri
23 A. Pelagotti

Coach: G. Martusciello

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
93 Arlind Ajeti D
23 A. Barreca D
18 M. Valdifiori M
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
22 J. Obi
19 J. Iturbe
25 S. Lukić
16 Samuel Gustafson
31 L. Boyé
87 A. Buongiorno
90 T. Cucchietti
85 F. Berardi
1 D. Padelli

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.