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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni
Empoli
U T T S S
4–1
Full-time
Torino
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
39%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
18 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 18. · Torino 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 28 5 3 +42 89
2 Napoli 36 23 7 6 +36 76
3 Inter 36 19 9 8 +26 66
4 Atalanta 36 19 8 9 +29 65
5 Roma 37 17 12 8 +17 63
6 Milan 36 17 11 8 +16 62
7 Torino 36 15 15 6 +16 60
8 Lazio 36 17 7 12 +12 58
9 Sampdoria 37 14 8 15 +7 50
10 Sassuolo 37 9 16 12 -5 43
11 Spal 37 11 9 17 -11 42
12 Cagliari 37 10 11 16 -17 41
13 Fiorentina 36 8 16 12 +3 40
14 Bologna 36 10 10 16 -9 40
15 Udinese 37 10 10 17 -15 40
16 Parma 36 9 11 16 -20 38
17 Genoa 37 8 13 16 -18 37
18 Empoli 36 9 8 19 -21 35
19 Frosinone 36 5 9 22 -38 24
20 Chievo 37 2 13 22 -50 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Torino
1–0 A. Acquah
M. Pajač
27′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 Iago Falqué
↦ O. Aina
56′
Iago Falqué 1–1
A. Belotti
M. Brighi 🔁
↦ A. Acquah
64′
2–1 M. Brighi
65′
68′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ S. Meïté
3–1 G. Di Lorenzo
M. Pajač
70′
Diego Farias 🟨
71′
F. Veseli 🔁
↦ D. Maietta
77′
78′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ D. Baselli
84′
🟨 Álex Berenguer
4–1 F. Caputo
Diego Farias
88′
L. Capezzi 🔁
↦ H. Traorè
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Empoli

3-1-4-2
69 B. Drągowski G
26 M. Silvestre D
22 D. Maietta D
2 G. Di Lorenzo M
39 C. Dell'Orco D
18 A. Acquah M
6 M. Pajač M
10 I. Bennacer M
8 H. Traorè M
11 F. Caputo F
17 Diego Farias F
Bench (10)
4 M. Brighi
5 F. Veseli
28 L. Capezzi
23 M. Pasqual
48 S. Uçan
37 D. Oberlin
21 F. Perucchini
43 D. Nikolaou
32 J. Rasmussen
1 I. Provedel

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina M
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (8)
14 Iago Falqué
11 S. Zaza
7 S. Lukić
36 Bremer
25 A. Rosati
72 V. Millico
19 V. Damaşcan
1 S. Ichazo

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.