Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolves
Arsenal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | +44 | +37.5 | 73 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | +49 | +41.5 | 71 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | +41 | +36.2 | 71 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | +19 | +6.3 | 63 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | +16 | +2.2 | 60 |
| 6 |
Newcastle
|
32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | +17 | +7.6 | 50 |
| 7 |
Man United
|
32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | -1 | -12.2 | 50 |
| 8 |
West Ham
|
33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -6 | -14.9 | 48 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +9 | +14.3 | 47 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | +2 | +1.5 | 44 |
| 11 |
Wolves
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -5 | -10.8 | 43 |
| 12 |
Fulham
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -2 | -9.1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | -10 | -1.7 | 42 |
| 14 |
Brentford
|
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -7 | +5.6 | 35 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -16 | +0.2 | 35 |
| 16 |
Crystal Palace
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -17 | -9.2 | 33 |
| 17 |
Nott'm Forest
|
33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -16 | -5.0 | 30 |
| 18 |
Luton
|
34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -28 | -33.4 | 25 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | -32 | -25.3 | 23 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | -57 | -31.5 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
José Sá
G
M. Doherty
D
S. Bueno
D
M. Kilman
D
Toti Gomes
D
João Gomes
M
T. Doyle
M
B. Traoré
M
Hugo Bueno
M
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
T. Chirewa
F
Coach: G. O'Neil
David Raya
G
B. White
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
J. Kiwior
D
M. Ødegaard
M
D. Rice
M
K. Havertz
M
B. Saka
F
Gabriel Jesus
F
L. Trossard
F
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nott'm Forest
Wolves
Wolves
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves
Aston Villa
Wolves
Wolves
Coventry
P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.