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Premier League
Referee: P Tierney
Wolves
T T U T U
0–2
Full-time
Arsenal
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 54%
38%
69%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
66%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
44%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,14 xG 1,26
46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 11. · Arsenal 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 32 22 7 3 +44 +37.5 73
2 Arsenal 32 22 5 5 +49 +41.5 71
3 Liverpool 32 21 8 3 +41 +36.2 71
4 Aston Villa 33 19 6 8 +19 +6.3 63
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 +16 +2.2 60
6 Newcastle 32 15 5 12 +17 +7.6 50
7 Man United 32 15 5 12 -1 -12.2 50
8 West Ham 33 13 9 11 -6 -14.9 48
9 Chelsea 31 13 8 10 +9 +14.3 47
10 Brighton 32 11 11 10 +2 +1.5 44
11 Wolves 32 12 7 13 -5 -10.8 43
12 Fulham 33 12 6 15 -2 -9.1 42
13 Bournemouth 32 11 9 12 -10 -1.7 42
14 Brentford 34 9 8 17 -7 +5.6 35
15 Everton 32 9 8 15 -16 +0.2 35
16 Crystal Palace 32 8 9 15 -17 -9.2 33
17 Nott'm Forest 33 7 9 17 -16 -5.0 30
18 Luton 34 6 7 21 -28 -33.4 25
19 Burnley 34 5 8 21 -32 -25.3 23
20 Sheffield United 33 3 7 23 -57 -31.5 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Arsenal
29′
🟨 Leandro Trossard
Toti Gomes 🟨
32′
Max Kilman 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Declan Rice
45′
L. Trossard 0–1
Gabriel Jesus
Half-time 0–1
Hee-Chan Hwang 🟨
51′
M. Lemina 🔁
↦ Hwang Hee-Chan
51′
72′
🔁 Gabriel Martinelli
↦ L. Trossard
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ T. Chirewa
75′
R. Aït-Nouri 🔁
↦ M. Doherty
75′
80′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ Gabriel Jesus
95′
M. Ødegaard 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wolves

4-4-2
1 José Sá G
2 M. Doherty D
4 S. Bueno D
23 M. Kilman D
24 Toti Gomes D
8 João Gomes M
20 T. Doyle M
6 B. Traoré M
17 Hugo Bueno M
11 Hwang Hee-Chan F
62 T. Chirewa F
Bench (9)
5 M. Lemina
21 Pablo Sarabia
3 R. Aït-Nouri
45 T. Barnett
37 F. Holman
57 T. Ojinnaka
63 N. Fraser
61 W. Okoduwa
25 D. Bentley

Coach: G. O'Neil

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
15 J. Kiwior D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
29 K. Havertz M
7 B. Saka F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (9)
11 Gabriel Martinelli
5 T. Partey
14 E. Nketiah
10 E. Smith Rowe
24 R. Nelson
1 A. Ramsdale
35 O. Zinchenko
20 Jorginho
21 Fábio Vieira

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,05
U
5,05
B ✓
1,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.