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Süper Lig

Referee: M Erdoğan

Samsunspor

T S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 30%

31%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

41%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

59%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,59 xG 0,35

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 13. · Ad. Demirspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	32	28	3	1	+53	+42.8	87
2	Fenerbahce	32	27	4	1	+57	+54.8	85
3	Trabzonspor	32	16	4	12	+12	+2.6	52
4	Besiktas	33	15	6	12	+6	+10.2	51
5	Rizespor	32	14	6	12	-4	-2.3	48
6	Buyuksehyr	32	13	7	12	+4	-0.2	46
7	Kasimpasa	32	13	7	12	-2	-9.4	46
8	Alanyaspor	33	11	12	10	-3	+2.8	45
9	Sivasspor	32	11	11	10	-5	-5.2	44
10	Antalyaspor	32	10	12	10	-1	-0.5	42
11	Ad. Demirspor	32	9	13	10	+5	-1.3	40
12	Kayserispor	32	10	10	12	-9	-9.0	40
13	Samsunspor	32	10	8	14	-6	+3.8	38
14	Ankaragücü	33	8	13	12	-3	-5.1	37
15	Konyaspor	33	8	12	13	-13	-10.4	36
16	Karagumruk	33	8	9	16	-5	-15.1	33
17	Hatayspor	32	7	12	13	-8	-7.5	33
18	Gaziantep	32	8	7	17	-15	-14.9	31
19	Pendikspor	32	7	9	16	-28	-11.7	30
20	İstanbulspor	33	4	7	22	-35	-24.2	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	16	0	0	+29	+28.8	48
2	Fenerbahce	16	12	3	1	+29	+30.7	39
3	Rizespor	17	11	3	3	+13	+6.4	36
4	Ad. Demirspor	16	9	4	3	+15	+7.1	31
5	Besiktas	17	9	3	5	+9	+6.8	30
6	Samsunspor	16	9	3	4	+9	+5.5	30
7	Trabzonspor	16	9	1	6	+6	+5.3	28
8	Buyuksehyr	16	8	3	5	+7	+1.0	27
9	Antalyaspor	16	6	8	2	+3	+1.9	26
10	Ankaragücü	17	6	7	4	+3	+2.0	25
11	Karagumruk	16	6	6	4	+11	-2.2	24
12	Kayserispor	16	6	6	4	+3	+1.9	24
13	Alanyaspor	16	6	6	4	+0	+2.9	24
14	Sivasspor	15	5	7	3	+3	+3.3	22
15	Hatayspor	16	5	7	4	+2	-2.8	22
16	Kasimpasa	16	6	4	6	-3	-5.4	22
17	Konyaspor	16	5	4	7	-1	+1.4	19
18	Pendikspor	16	5	3	8	-10	-6.5	18
19	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-7	-7.9	17
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	3	12	-22	-15.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	15	1	0	+28	+24.2	46
2	Galatasaray	16	12	3	1	+24	+14.0	39
3	Trabzonspor	16	7	3	6	+6	-2.7	24
4	Kasimpasa	16	7	3	6	+1	-4.0	24
5	Sivasspor	17	6	4	7	-8	-8.5	22
6	Besiktas	16	6	3	7	-3	+3.5	21
7	Alanyaspor	17	5	6	6	-3	-0.1	21
8	Buyuksehyr	16	5	4	7	-3	-1.2	19
9	Konyaspor	17	3	8	6	-12	-11.8	17
10	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-4	-2.4	16
11	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-12	-10.8	16
12	Gaziantep	16	4	2	10	-8	-7.0	14
13	Ankaragücü	16	2	6	8	-6	-7.2	12
14	Rizespor	15	3	3	9	-17	-8.8	12
15	Pendikspor	16	2	6	8	-18	-5.2	12
16	Hatayspor	16	2	5	9	-10	-4.7	11
17	İstanbulspor	16	2	4	10	-13	-8.4	10
18	Ad. Demirspor	16	0	9	7	-10	-8.4	9
19	Karagumruk	17	2	3	12	-16	-12.9	9
20	Samsunspor	16	1	5	10	-15	-1.7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.