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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Wolfsburg
T T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Bochum
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
62%
Both score Ø 69%
66%
72%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,85 xG 1,30
46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 14. · Bochum 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leverkusen 29 25 4 0 +55 +37.7 79
2 Bayern Munich 29 20 3 6 +46 +51.9 63
3 Stuttgart 29 20 3 6 +33 +31.0 63
4 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 +34 +25.3 56
5 Dortmund 29 16 8 5 +23 +11.2 56
6 Ein Frankfurt 30 11 12 7 +6 -3.1 45
7 Augsburg 30 10 9 11 -1 -5.7 39
8 Freiburg 29 11 6 12 -11 -2.5 39
9 Hoffenheim 29 10 6 13 -8 -10.2 36
10 Heidenheim 29 8 10 11 -8 -21.1 34
11 M'gladbach 29 7 10 12 -6 -5.2 31
12 Werder Bremen 29 8 7 14 -13 -11.1 31
13 Union Berlin 29 8 5 16 -20 -10.4 29
14 Wolfsburg 29 7 7 15 -16 -3.2 28
15 Bochum 29 5 12 12 -25 -18.7 27
16 Mainz 29 5 11 13 -17 -1.4 26
17 FC Koln 29 4 10 15 -28 -29.5 22
18 Darmstadt 29 2 8 19 -44 -35.0 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Bochum
12′
🟨 Patrick Osterhage
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
37′
40′
ℹ️ Patrick Osterhage
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 J. Wind
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ T. Asano
Tiago Tomás 🟨
53′
K. Paredes 🔁
↦ Tiago Tomás
65′
A. Sarr 🔁
↦ R. Baku
65′
K. Behrens 🔁
↦ J. Wind
65′
Kevin Paredes 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 M. Wittek
↦ M. Bero
68′
🔁 L. Daschner
↦ A. Losilla
J. Kamiński 🔁
↦ K. Fischer
75′
81′
🔁 M. Broschinski
↦ F. Passlack
Aster Vranckx 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Christopher Antwi-Adjei
87′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ P. Osterhage
M. Svanberg 🔁
↦ M. Arnold
92′
95′
🟨 Kevin Stöger
96′
ℹ️ Kevin Stöger
VAR: Card reviewed
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-3
12 P. Pervan G
4 M. Lacroix D
3 S. Bornauw D
5 C. Zesiger D
2 K. Fischer M
27 M. Arnold M
6 A. Vranckx M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
20 R. Baku F
23 J. Wind F
11 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
40 K. Paredes
9 A. Sarr
17 K. Behrens
16 J. Kamiński
32 M. Svanberg
39 P. Wimmer
19 L. Majer
30 N. Klinger
21 J. Mæhle

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 M. Riemann G
15 F. Passlack D
4 E. Mašović D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
5 Bernardo D
8 A. Losilla M
6 P. Osterhage M
19 M. Bero M
7 K. Stöger M
11 T. Asano M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
32 M. Wittek
13 L. Daschner
29 M. Broschinski
10 P. Förster
2 C. Gamboa
14 T. Oermann
16 A. Luthe
20 I. Ordets

Coach: H. Butscher

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,98
B
4,32
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.