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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Arsenal
S S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
5,0
Scored
2,3
3,3
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
63%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,9
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,22 xG 2,08
59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Arsenal Bayern Munich
9′
🟨 Alphonso Davies
1–0 B. Saka ⚽
B. White
12′
18′
⚽ S. Gnabry 1–1
L. Goretzka
32′
⚽ H. Kane 1–2
Half-time 1–2
O. Zinchenko 🔁
↦ J. Kiwior
46′
55′
🟨 Harry Kane
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
66′
66′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ L. Sané
Gabriel Jesus 🔁
↦ Jorginho
67′
70′
🔁 Raphaël Guerreiro
↦ S. Gnabry
2–2 L. Trossard ⚽
Gabriel Jesus
76′
T. Partey 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
86′
Thomas Partey 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
15 J. Kiwior D
8 M. Ødegaard M
20 Jorginho M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka F
29 K. Havertz F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (12)
35 O. Zinchenko
19 L. Trossard
9 Gabriel Jesus
5 T. Partey
10 E. Smith Rowe
24 R. Nelson
18 T. Tomiyasu
21 Fábio Vieira
31 K. Hein
14 E. Nketiah
1 A. Ramsdale
25 Mohamed Elneny

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
6 J. Kimmich D
4 M. de Ligt D
15 E. Dier D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
27 K. Laimer M
10 L. Sané M
42 J. Musiala M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (12)
11 K. Coman
22 Raphaël Guerreiro
40 N. Mazraoui
13 E. Choupo-Moting
25 T. Müller
18 Daniel Peretz
17 Bryan Zaragoza
3 Kim Min-Jae
26 S. Ulreich
2 D. Upamecano
45 A. Pavlović
39 M. Tel

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.