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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Giua
Sassuolo
S U U U S
2–2
Full-time
Frosinone
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 21%
26%
15%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
32%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

68% Possession 32%
22 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 11. · Frosinone 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 28 5 2 +44 89
2 Napoli 34 21 7 6 +34 70
3 Inter 35 18 9 8 +24 63
4 Atalanta 34 17 8 9 +26 59
5 Roma 34 16 10 8 +15 58
6 Torino 35 14 15 6 +15 57
7 Milan 34 15 11 8 +14 56
8 Lazio 34 16 7 11 +13 55
9 Sampdoria 34 14 6 14 +8 48
10 Spal 35 11 9 15 -9 42
11 Sassuolo 34 9 14 11 -4 41
12 Fiorentina 35 8 16 11 +4 40
13 Cagliari 34 10 10 14 -15 40
14 Bologna 34 9 10 15 -11 37
15 Parma 34 9 10 15 -17 37
16 Genoa 34 8 11 15 -17 35
17 Udinese 35 8 10 17 -18 34
18 Empoli 35 8 8 19 -22 32
19 Frosinone 34 5 8 21 -36 23
20 Chievo 35 2 12 21 -48 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Frosinone
8′
P. Sammarco 0–1
A. Pinamonti
23′
🟨 Paolo Sammarco
36′
L. Paganini 0–2
C. Ciano
44′
🟨 Nicolò Brighenti
Half-time 0–2
K. Babacar 🔁
↦ A. Matri
46′
J. Boga 🔁
↦ M. Lemos
46′
Mehdi Bourabia 🟨
57′
1–2 G. Ferrari
Rogério
66′
70′
🔁 R. Chibsah
↦ F. Cassata
70′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ C. Ciano
2–2 J. Boga
Pol Lirola
77′
Manuel Locatelli 🟨
80′
M. Locatelli 🔁
↦ S. Sensi
80′
82′
🔁 F. Dionisi
↦ A. Pinamonti
87′
🟨 Marco Sportiello
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

3-1-4-2
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
5 M. Lemos D
3 M. Demiral D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério D
4 F. Magnanelli M
68 M. Bourabia M
12 S. Sensi M
10 A. Matri F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
30 K. Babacar
20 J. Boga
73 M. Locatelli
32 A. Duncan
34 F. Di Francesco
98 C. Adjapong
19 J. Odgaard
17 L. Sernicola
2 Marlon
9 F. Đuričić
79 G. Pegolo
11 G. Scamacca

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Frosinone

3-5-2
57 M. Sportiello G
15 L. Ariaudo D
23 N. Brighenti D
6 E. Goldaniga D
21 P. Sammarco M
7 L. Paganini M
33 A. Beghetto M
16 L. Valzania M
24 F. Cassata M
28 C. Ciano F
89 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (12)
66 R. Chibsah
9 D. Ciofani
18 F. Dionisi
8 R. Maiello
4 S. Simič
22 F. Bardi
3 C. Molinaro
25 M. Capuano
2 P. Ghiglione
20 M. Trotta
32 L. Krajnc
17 F. Zampano

Coach: M. Baroni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.