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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Sampdoria
S S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 39%
53%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
60%
38%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 6. · Sassuolo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 17 13 3 1 +27 42
2 Inter 17 12 4 1 +21 40
3 Juventus 16 12 2 2 +27 38
4 Roma 16 12 2 2 +18 38
5 Lazio 15 10 2 3 +17 32
6 Sampdoria 15 8 3 4 +8 27
7 Milan 17 7 3 7 -1 24
8 Atalanta 16 6 5 5 +3 23
9 Torino 17 5 8 4 -2 23
10 Fiorentina 16 6 4 6 +7 22
11 Udinese 16 7 0 9 +1 21
12 Bologna 16 6 3 7 -1 21
13 Chievo 16 5 6 5 -9 21
14 Cagliari 17 5 2 10 -12 17
15 Sassuolo 16 4 2 10 -18 14
16 Genoa 16 3 4 9 -8 13
17 Verona 17 3 4 10 -15 13
18 Crotone 16 3 3 10 -20 12
19 Spal 16 2 5 9 -13 11
20 Benevento 16 0 1 15 -30 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Sassuolo
38′
🟨 Diego Falcinelli
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Pol Lirola
G. Caprari 🔁
↦ D. Zapata
57′
Gastón Ramírez 🟨
67′
73′
🟨 Domenico Berardi
74′
🔁 A. Matri
↦ D. Berardi
D. Kownacki 🔁
↦ G. Ramírez
79′
82′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
88′
🔁 A. Ragusa
↦ M. Politano
90′
🟨 Antonino Ragusa
90′
🟨 Andrea Consigli
90′
A. Matri 0–1
A. Ragusa
91′
🔁 P. Cannavaro
↦ D. Falcinelli
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
2 E. Viviano G
26 M. Silvestre D
17 I. Strinić D
24 B. Bereszyński D
13 G. Ferrari D
8 É. Barreto M
90 G. Ramírez M
18 D. Praet M
34 L. Torreira M
27 F. Quagliarella F
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (12)
9 G. Caprari
99 D. Kownacki
1 C. Puggioni
3 J. Andersen
7 J. Sala
10 F. Đuričić
19 V. Regini
21 V. Verre
28 L. Capezzi
29 N. Murru
92 A. Tozzo
95 D. Ivan

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
24 E. Goldaniga D
21 Pol Lirola D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
11 D. Falcinelli F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
10 A. Matri
90 A. Ragusa
28 P. Cannavaro
6 L. Mazzitelli
14 G. Scamacca
17 N. Pierini
22 D. Frattesi
23 M. Gazzola
26 Rogério
70 L. Marson
77 G. Pegolo

Coach: G. Iachini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.