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Copa del Rey

Referee: Mario Melero

UD Logroñés

U T T S U

0–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

UD Logroñés Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

4 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Pontevedra	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Almeria	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
8	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Barbastro	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Santander	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Marbella	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Cartagena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Ferrol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Deportiva Minera	2	1	1	0	+5	4
24	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+4	4
25	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
26	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Granada	3	1	1	1	+1	4
28	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	+1	4
30	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
32	Zamora	2	1	1	0	+1	4
33	Orihuela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
34	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+1	4
35	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+5	3
36	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
37	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
38	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	1	0	1	+3	3
39	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
41	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
42	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Barakaldo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Cultural Leonesa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Gimnastic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Conquense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
59	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
61	Ponferradina	2	0	2	0	+0	2
62	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Olot	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
70	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
71	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
72	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
73	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pontevedra	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Barbastro	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Estepona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	UD Logroñés	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Europa Fc	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Conquense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Cacereño	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Sant Andreu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Ejea	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
19	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
20	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Deportiva Minera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Zamora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Orihuela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Olot	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
30	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
31	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Tenerife	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Barakaldo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
79	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Betis	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Ferrol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Eldense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Cartagena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Girona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Leganes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Castellon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
25	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Burgos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.