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Europa League
Referee: J Weinberger
Besiktas
T U U S U
4–1
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 61%
38%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
88%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
3,9
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
2,1
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,80 xG 1,04
47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Besiktas Ath Bilbao
1–0 M. Rashica ⚽
Rafa
17′
Ciro Immobile 🟨
37′
45′
⚽ Unai Gómez 1–1
Beñat Prados
Half-time 1–1
Arthur Masuaku 🟨
46′
2–1 M. Rashica ⚽
Rafa
60′
61′
🔁 Ruíz de Galarreta
↦ Beñat Prados
61′
🔁 I. Williams
↦ Nico Williams
Milot Rashica 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 Mikel Vesga
↦ Ruíz de Galarreta
S. Kılıçsoy 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
69′
B. Zaynutdinov 🔁
↦ A. Masuaku
69′
3–1 Rafa ⚽
77′
João Mário 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
79′
79′
🔁 Álvaro Djaló
↦ Álex Berenguer
79′
🔁 Nico Serrano
↦ Unai Gómez
C. Ndour 🔁
↦ Rafa
87′
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
87′
Semih Kılıçsoy ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
4–1 João Mário ⚽
92′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
53 E. Topçu D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
83 Gedson Fernandes M
6 Al Musrati M
7 M. Rashica M
27 Rafa M
23 E. Muçi M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
9 S. Kılıçsoy
22 B. Zaynutdinov
18 João Mário
73 C. Ndour
4 O. Bulut
30 E. Destanoğlu
44 F. Ay
94 G. Baytekin
8 S. Uçan
71 J. Onana
91 M. Hekimoğlu
77 C. Keleş

Coach: O. Solskjær

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
18 De Marcos D
14 Unai Núñez D
4 Aitor Paredes D
17 Yuri D
24 Beñat Prados M
23 Mikel Jauregizar M
7 Álex Berenguer M
20 Unai Gómez M
10 Nico Williams M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
16 Ruíz de Galarreta
9 I. Williams
6 Mikel Vesga
11 Álvaro Djaló
22 Nico Serrano
3 Dani Vivian
28 Peio Canales
15 Lekue
2 Andoni Gorosabel
19 Javi Martón
5 Yeray
1 Unai Simón

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.