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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Mallorca
U T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Sociedad
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,4
1,8
Scored
0,6
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,19 xG 0,59
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 13. · Sociedad 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +13 +7.9 15
2 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +7 +7.3 11
3 Real Madrid 5 3 2 0 +7 +6.7 11
4 Villarreal 5 3 2 0 +3 +1.5 11
5 Celta 5 3 0 2 +3 +0.8 9
6 Alaves 5 2 1 2 +1 +2.0 7
7 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +1 -0.2 7
8 Girona 5 2 1 2 +0 +2.4 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +0 -0.4 7
10 Espanol 5 2 1 2 +0 -1.6 7
11 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 -4 -3.6 7
12 Betis 4 1 2 1 +0 +1.2 5
13 Mallorca 5 1 2 2 -1 -0.2 5
14 Sevilla 5 1 2 2 -2 -0.1 5
15 Leganes 5 1 2 2 -2 -3.6 5
16 Sociedad 5 1 1 3 -3 -3.0 4
17 Valladolid 5 1 1 3 -11 -5.5 4
18 Getafe 4 0 3 1 -1 +0.9 3
19 Las Palmas 5 0 2 3 -4 -5.7 2
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 -7 -6.7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Sociedad
Samuel Costa ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
34′
1–0 Abdón Prats
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Kubo
↦ Sergio Gómez
54′
🟨 Beñat Turrientes
Abdón Prats 🟨
60′
60′
🔁 O. Óskarsson
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
60′
🔁 Odriozola
↦ Aritz Elustondo
61′
🔁 Pablo Marín
↦ Beñat Turrientes
T. Asano 🔁
↦ C. Larin
63′
V. Muriqi 🔁
↦ Abdón Prats
63′
Dani Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Robert Navarro
70′
78′
🔁 S. Becker
↦ Barrenetxea
Valery 🔁
↦ Darder
88′
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Samú Costa
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
13 Leo Román G
18 Antonio Sánchez D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
22 J. Mojica D
12 Samú Costa M
5 Omar Mascarell M
27 Robert Navarro M
9 Abdón Prats M
10 Darder M
17 C. Larin F
Bench (12)
11 T. Asano
7 V. Muriqi
14 Dani Rodríguez
16 Valery
8 Manu Morlanes
30 Marc Domenech
20 Chiquinho
25 Iván Cuéllar
1 D. Greif
33 D. Luna
2 Mateu Morey
24 M. Valjent

Coach: Arrasate

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Aritz Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
17 Sergio Gómez M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
24 L. Sučić M
7 Barrenetxea M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
14 T. Kubo
9 O. Óskarsson
2 Odriozola
28 Pablo Marín
11 S. Becker
27 J. Aramburu
13 Unai Marrero
19 U. Sadiq
20 Jon Pacheco
25 Jon Magunazelaia
16 Jon Olasagasti
31 Jon Martín

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,88
U
2,81
B
2,93
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
3,04
U2,5 ✓
1,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.