La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Mallorca
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +13 | +7.9 | 15 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | +7.3 | 11 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +7 | +6.7 | 11 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | +1.5 | 11 |
| 5 |
Celta
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | +0.8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | +2.0 | 7 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -0.2 | 7 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | +2.4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -0.4 | 7 |
| 10 |
Espanol
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | -1.6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -3.6 | 7 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0 | +1.2 | 5 |
| 13 |
Mallorca
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -0.1 | 5 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -3.6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Sociedad
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -3.0 | 4 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -11 | -5.5 | 4 |
| 18 |
Getafe
|
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | +0.9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Las Palmas
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -5.7 | 2 |
| 20 |
Valencia
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | -6.7 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Leo Román
G
Antonio Sánchez
D
Raíllo
D
J. Mojica
D
Robert Navarro
M
Abdón Prats
M
Darder
M
C. Larin
F
Coach: Arrasate
Álex Remiro
G
Aritz Elustondo
D
Zubeldia
D
N. Aguerd
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
Sergio Gómez
M
Beñat Turrientes
M
L. Sučić
M
Barrenetxea
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mallorca
Villarreal
Leganes
Mallorca
Mallorca
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.