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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Nice
T U S T S
1–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,2
Scored
2,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,28 xG 0,74
55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Sociedad
18′
⚽ Barrenetxea 0–1
Brais Méndez
20′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
Evann Guessand 🟨
26′
Pablo Rosario 🟨
26′
43′
🟨 Álvaro Odriozola
1–1 P. Rosario ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–1
Dante ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
52′
53′
🟨 Jon Pacheco
Evann Guessand ❌
penalty missed
54′
60′
🔁 J. Aramburu
↦ Odriozola
60′
🔁 S. Becker
↦ Barrenetxea
60′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Aihen Muñoz
S. Diop 🔁
↦ B. Bouanani
68′
T. Ndombélé 🔁
↦ T. Louchet
68′
69′
🔁 L. Sučić
↦ Brais Méndez
V. Orakpo 🔁
↦ Y. Moukoko
74′
80′
🔁 O. Óskarsson
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nice

3-4-3
1 M. Bułka G
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
64 M. Bombito D
4 Dante D
92 J. Clauss M
8 P. Rosario M
20 T. Louchet M
26 M. Bard M
19 B. Bouanani F
15 Y. Moukoko F
29 E. Guessand F
Bench (10)
10 S. Diop
22 T. Ndombélé
45 V. Orakpo
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem
77 T. Boulhendi
36 I. Camara
6 H. Boudaoui
33 A. Mendy
2 A. Abdi
31 M. Dupé

Coach: F. Haise

Sociedad

5-3-2
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Odriozola D
5 Zubeldia D
31 Jon Martín D
20 Jon Pacheco D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
28 Pablo Marín M
7 Barrenetxea F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
27 J. Aramburu
11 S. Becker
12 Javi López
24 L. Sučić
9 O. Óskarsson
6 Elustondo
17 Sergio Gómez
25 Jon Magunazelaia
13 Unai Marrero
21 N. Aguerd
14 T. Kubo
22 Beñat Turrientes

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.