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La Liga

Referee: Francisco Hernández

Celta

U S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Valladolid

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

2,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,8

2,8

Scored

2,5

0,3

Conceded

2,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,84 xG 0,51

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celta 9. · Valladolid 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	+7.4	12
2	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+7	+6.7	11
3	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+3	+1.5	11
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.2	8
5	Girona	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
6	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
7	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.6	7
8	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-2	-2.3	7
9	Celta	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.5	6
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
11	Mallorca	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
12	Sevilla	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.1	5
13	Leganes	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.6	5
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
15	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
16	Sociedad	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.0	4
17	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-9	-4.2	4
18	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.9	3
19	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.7	2
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.2	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.7	6
4	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
5	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
7	Betis	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
10	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
12	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.2	3
13	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
14	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
15	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.6	2
16	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.8	2
18	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
19	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
20	Sociedad	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.2	6
3	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.1	5
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
5	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
7	Girona	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.6	4
8	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
9	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
10	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
11	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-2	-3.6	2
12	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
14	Betis	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.2	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-10	-5.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.