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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Celta
S T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Alaves
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 1,60
64% Possession 36%
6 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -24 Alaves – Celta 3–0 28. Sep -23 Celta – Alaves 1–1 7. May -22 Celta – Alaves 4–0 27. Nov -21 Alaves – Celta 1–2 4. Apr -21 Alaves – Celta 1–3

Match report

Celta Alaves
Iago Aspas 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
8′
Iago Aspas 🟨
9′
17′
⚽ Kike García 0–1
Antonio Blanco
Iago Aspas ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 0–1
W. Swedberg 🔁
↦ C. Starfelt
46′
Javi Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Javier Manquillo
46′
Jailson 🔁
↦ J. Bamba
46′
47′
🟨 Tomás Conechny
58′
🔁 Hugo Novoa
↦ L. Romero
I. Moriba 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
65′
1–1 W. Swedberg ⚽
Hugo Álvarez
66′
68′
🔁 Luis Rioja
↦ T. Conechny
68′
🔁 Stoichkov
↦ Jon Guridi
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ T. Douvikas
78′
80′
🔁 Asier Villalibre
↦ Kike García
80′
🔁 C. Benavídez
↦ Ander Guevara
2–1 Iago Aspas ⚽
W. Swedberg
84′
Damián Rodríguez 🟨
87′
95′
🟨 Abdelkabir Abqar
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-2-1
1 Iván Villar G
22 Javier Manquillo D
2 C. Starfelt D
24 Carlos Domínguez D
30 Hugo Álvarez M
28 Damián Rodríguez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
3 Óscar Mingueza M
10 Iago Aspas F
17 J. Bamba F
9 T. Douvikas F
Bench (12)
19 W. Swedberg
32 Javi Rodríguez
16 Jailson
6 I. Moriba
7 Borja Iglesias
15 J. Aidoo
26 Marc Vidal
18 Pablo Durán
33 Hugo Sotelo
12 Alfon González
5 Sergio Carreira
27 César Fernández

Coach: Claudio Giráldez

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Antonio Sivera G
7 Carlos Vicente D
5 A. Abqar D
14 N. Tenaglia D
22 M. Diarra D
6 Ander Guevara M
8 Antonio Blanco M
20 L. Romero M
18 Jon Guridi M
10 T. Conechny M
17 Kike García F
Bench (12)
16 Hugo Novoa
11 Luis Rioja
19 Stoichkov
9 Asier Villalibre
23 C. Benavídez
13 Jesús Owono
36 Adrián Pica
4 A. Sedlar
29 J. Panichelli
34 Eneko Ortiz
31 A. Rodríguez
37 Julen Lartitegi

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
🔒
U
3,32
🔒
B
4,02
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,25
🔒
U2,5
1,67
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.