La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Almeria
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | +44 | +29.3 | 72 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | +26 | +33.8 | 64 |
| 3 |
Girona
|
29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | +25 | +10.6 | 62 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | +24 | +15.3 | 56 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | +20 | +18.6 | 55 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +11 | +5.7 | 46 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | +1 | -3.9 | 42 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +0 | -4.0 | 40 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -4 | -2.6 | 38 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | -6 | -6.5 | 38 |
| 11 |
Las Palmas
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -3 | -15.9 | 37 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -10 | -8.1 | 36 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -9 | +1.2 | 32 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -7 | -11.4 | 31 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -10 | -4.8 | 30 |
| 16 |
Vallecano
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -13 | -4.5 | 29 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -12 | -8.0 | 27 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | -19 | -14.4 | 25 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | -29 | -17.4 | 14 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
29 | 1 | 10 | 18 | -29 | -12.7 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Marc Pubill
D
Edgar González
M
Largie Ramazani
F
Marko Milovanović
F
Sergio Arribas
F
Coach: Pepe Mel
Sergio Herrera
G
Jesús Areso
D
Alejandro Catena
D
Jorge Herrando
D
Juan Cruz
D
Rubén García
M
Jon Moncayola
M
Iker Muñoz
M
Moi Gómez
M
Ante Budimir
F
José Manuel Arnáiz
F
Coach: Arrasate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Las Palmas
Almeria
Almeria
Sevilla
Celta
Almeria
Almeria
Ath Madrid
Granada
Almeria
Pablo González Fuertes · 10 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.