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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Lyon
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Reims
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,92 xG 1,45
64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 10. · Reims 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 17 8 1 +39 +20.6 59
2 Monaco 27 14 7 6 +14 +7.6 49
3 Brest 26 13 8 5 +16 +9.1 47
4 Lille 27 12 10 5 +15 +13.7 46
5 Nice 26 12 7 7 +7 +10.0 43
6 Lens 27 12 6 9 +7 +1.5 42
7 Marseille 26 10 9 7 +12 +18.0 39
8 Rennes 26 10 9 7 +9 +8.4 39
9 Reims 26 11 5 10 -1 +6.0 38
10 Lyon 26 10 4 12 -10 -6.3 34
11 Toulouse 26 7 8 11 -7 -8.1 29
12 Strasbourg 26 7 8 11 -11 -4.4 29
13 Le Havre 26 6 9 11 -7 -11.6 27
14 Montpellier 26 6 9 11 -9 +0.5 27
15 Lorient 26 6 8 12 -14 -14.7 26
16 Nantes 26 7 4 15 -17 -12.1 25
17 Metz 27 6 5 16 -19 -17.3 23
18 Clermont 26 4 8 14 -24 -20.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Reims
20′
🟨 Reda Khadra
Half-time 0–0
E. Nuamah 🔁
↦ R. Cherki
46′
55′
J. Okumu 0–1
S. Benrahma 🔁
↦ N. Matić
62′
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ A. Lacazette
62′
1–1 E. Nuamah
S. Benrahma
65′
Duje Ćaleta-Car 🟨
71′
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ G. Orban
72′
72′
🔁 A. Richardson
↦ K. Nakamura
72′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ V. Atangana Edoa
Corentin Tolisso 🟨
76′
78′
🟨 Amir Richardson
81′
🔁 M. Busi
↦ Sergio Akieme
81′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ R. Khadra
S. Kumbedi 🔁
↦ Henrique
89′
89′
🔁 C. Mbondi
↦ O. Diakité
90′
🟨 Marshall Munetsi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lyon

3-4-1-2
1 Anthony Lopes G
12 J. O'Brien D
8 C. Tolisso D
55 D. Ćaleta-Car D
98 A. Maitland-Niles M
6 M. Caqueret M
31 N. Matić M
21 Henrique M
18 R. Cherki F
10 A. Lacazette F
9 G. Orban F
Bench (9)
37 E. Nuamah
17 S. Benrahma
11 M. Fofana
7 Mama Baldé
20 S. Kumbedi
24 J. Lepenant
23 Lucas Perri
5 D. Lovren
25 O. Mangala

Coach: P. Sage

Reims

4-4-1-1
94 Y. Diouf G
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
2 J. Okumu D
18 Sergio Akieme D
7 J. Ito M
6 V. Atangana Edoa M
15 M. Munetsi M
17 K. Nakamura M
14 R. Khadra F
22 O. Diakité F
Bench (9)
8 A. Richardson
72 A. Koné
4 M. Busi
32 T. Foket
66 C. Mbondi
67 M. Diakhon
96 A. Olliero
45 T. Koudou
71 Y. Fofana

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,65
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.