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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez

Osasuna

T T S S U

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

35%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

38%

31%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

46%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,98 xG 1,03

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 11. · Alaves 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	27	20	6	1	+38	+24.4	66
2	Girona	27	18	5	4	+24	+8.4	59
3	Barcelona	27	17	7	3	+22	+31.6	58
4	Ath Madrid	27	17	4	6	+25	+19.6	55
5	Ath Bilbao	27	14	8	5	+20	+15.3	50
6	Betis	27	10	12	5	+4	-3.6	42
7	Sociedad	27	10	10	7	+8	+4.1	40
8	Valencia	26	10	7	9	+0	-2.7	37
9	Las Palmas	27	10	7	10	+0	-16.6	37
10	Getafe	27	8	11	8	-5	-7.3	35
11	Osasuna	26	9	6	11	-7	-4.3	33
12	Villarreal	27	8	8	11	-6	-3.9	32
13	Alaves	26	7	8	11	-7	+1.6	29
14	Sevilla	27	6	9	12	-7	-11.4	27
15	Mallorca	27	5	12	10	-10	-4.6	27
16	Vallecano	27	5	11	11	-14	-4.5	26
17	Celta	27	5	9	13	-9	-5.0	24
18	Cadiz	27	2	13	12	-20	-14.5	19
19	Granada	26	2	8	16	-26	-14.8	14
20	Almeria	27	0	9	18	-30	-11.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	13	1	0	+21	+18.3	40
2	Real Madrid	13	11	2	0	+24	+18.5	35
3	Ath Bilbao	14	10	3	1	+20	+15.3	33
4	Girona	13	10	2	1	+19	+7.6	32
5	Barcelona	14	10	1	3	+13	+16.6	31
6	Betis	14	7	6	1	+9	+7.4	27
7	Valencia	13	7	4	2	+9	+3.7	25
8	Getafe	13	7	4	2	+4	-0.1	25
9	Las Palmas	13	6	4	3	+7	-4.8	22
10	Sociedad	13	5	5	3	+4	+2.6	20
11	Mallorca	14	4	7	3	+1	-0.9	19
12	Alaves	13	5	3	5	-2	+5.7	18
13	Osasuna	13	5	3	5	-3	+1.4	18
14	Sevilla	14	4	5	5	-1	-3.0	17
15	Villarreal	14	4	4	6	+0	+4.8	16
16	Cadiz	13	2	7	4	-6	+2.8	13
17	Celta	14	3	4	7	-7	+4.6	13
18	Granada	13	2	6	5	-6	-3.2	12
19	Vallecano	13	1	7	5	-10	-2.9	10
20	Almeria	13	0	7	6	-11	+0.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	9	4	1	+14	+5.9	31
2	Barcelona	13	7	6	0	+9	+14.9	27
3	Girona	14	8	3	3	+5	+0.8	27
4	Sociedad	14	5	5	4	+4	+1.5	20
5	Ath Bilbao	13	4	5	4	+0	-0.0	17
6	Vallecano	14	4	4	6	-4	-1.6	16
7	Villarreal	13	4	4	5	-6	-8.7	16
8	Ath Madrid	13	4	3	6	+4	+1.2	15
9	Osasuna	13	4	3	6	-4	-5.7	15
10	Betis	13	3	6	4	-5	-11.0	15
11	Las Palmas	14	4	3	7	-7	-11.7	15
12	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-9	-6.3	12
13	Celta	13	2	5	6	-2	-9.6	11
14	Alaves	13	2	5	6	-5	-4.2	11
15	Sevilla	13	2	4	7	-6	-8.4	10
16	Getafe	14	1	7	6	-9	-7.2	10
17	Mallorca	13	1	5	7	-11	-3.7	8
18	Cadiz	14	0	6	8	-14	-17.3	6
19	Almeria	14	0	2	12	-19	-12.1	2
20	Granada	13	0	2	11	-20	-11.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.