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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez

Celta

T S S U S

0–1

Full-time

Sociedad

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

15%

40%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,26 xG 0,78

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 16. · Sociedad 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	20	15	4	1	+22	+7.5	49
2	Real Madrid	19	15	3	1	+29	+15.5	48
3	Ath Bilbao	21	12	5	4	+17	+15.8	41
4	Barcelona	19	12	5	2	+14	+24.4	41
5	Ath Madrid	19	12	2	5	+16	+10.6	38
6	Sociedad	20	8	8	4	+10	+1.3	32
7	Valencia	21	9	5	7	+3	+0.6	32
8	Las Palmas	21	9	4	8	+4	-13.1	31
9	Betis	20	7	10	3	+2	-0.2	31
10	Getafe	19	6	8	5	-1	-4.4	26
11	Alaves	21	6	5	10	-8	+2.5	23
12	Vallecano	20	5	8	7	-8	-2.7	23
13	Osasuna	19	6	4	9	-7	-3.8	22
14	Mallorca	21	3	11	7	-6	-4.3	20
15	Villarreal	21	5	5	11	-14	-4.8	20
16	Celta	20	3	8	9	-9	-2.1	17
17	Sevilla	20	3	7	10	-5	-7.6	16
18	Cadiz	21	2	9	10	-16	-14.9	15
19	Granada	20	2	5	13	-19	-12.2	11
20	Almeria	20	0	6	14	-24	-7.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	9	1	0	+12	+10.8	28
2	Ath Bilbao	11	8	2	1	+15	+14.4	26
3	Real Madrid	9	8	1	0	+18	+13.4	25
4	Girona	10	8	1	1	+12	+4.2	25
5	Barcelona	10	8	0	2	+10	+12.2	24
6	Betis	10	6	4	0	+9	+7.4	22
7	Valencia	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.2	20
8	Sociedad	10	5	4	1	+7	+0.6	19
9	Las Palmas	10	5	3	2	+6	-4.0	18
10	Getafe	9	5	3	1	+3	+0.0	18
11	Alaves	10	5	1	4	+0	+6.7	16
12	Mallorca	10	2	7	1	+1	-0.5	13
13	Osasuna	10	3	3	4	-3	+0.4	12
14	Villarreal	11	3	2	6	-4	+2.4	11
15	Cadiz	10	2	5	3	-4	+1.3	11
16	Sevilla	11	2	4	5	-3	-2.4	10
17	Granada	10	2	4	4	-5	-2.4	10
18	Celta	10	2	4	4	-5	+5.0	10
19	Vallecano	10	1	5	4	-9	-2.7	8
20	Almeria	10	0	5	5	-8	+1.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	10	7	3	0	+10	+3.3	24
2	Real Madrid	10	7	2	1	+11	+2.1	23
3	Barcelona	9	4	5	0	+4	+12.2	17
4	Ath Bilbao	10	4	3	3	+2	+1.4	15
5	Vallecano	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.1	15
6	Sociedad	10	3	4	3	+3	+0.7	13
7	Las Palmas	11	4	1	6	-2	-9.0	13
8	Valencia	11	3	3	5	-5	-3.7	12
9	Ath Madrid	9	3	1	5	+4	-0.2	10
10	Osasuna	9	3	1	5	-4	-4.2	10
11	Betis	10	1	6	3	-7	-7.6	9
12	Villarreal	10	2	3	5	-10	-7.2	9
13	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	-4.5	8
14	Celta	10	1	4	5	-4	-7.1	7
15	Mallorca	11	1	4	6	-7	-3.8	7
16	Alaves	11	1	4	6	-8	-4.3	7
17	Sevilla	9	1	3	5	-2	-5.2	6
18	Cadiz	11	0	4	7	-12	-16.2	4
19	Granada	10	0	1	9	-14	-9.8	1
20	Almeria	10	0	1	9	-16	-9.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.