La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cadiz
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Girona
|
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | +21 | +8.7 | 44 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | +27 | +14.4 | 42 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +13 | +22.6 | 38 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +16 | +10.0 | 35 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +15 | +15.1 | 35 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +11 | +1.9 | 30 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | +2 | -0.1 | 27 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | +1 | -2.9 | 26 |
| 9 |
Las Palmas
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +0 | -9.1 | 25 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -3 | -2.6 | 23 |
| 11 |
Vallecano
|
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -8 | -5.2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -7 | -5.4 | 19 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | -5.5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -1 | -6.4 | 16 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -9 | +1.3 | 16 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -6 | -2.3 | 15 |
| 17 |
Cadiz
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -10 | -10.8 | 14 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -10 | -2.2 | 13 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -20 | -13.1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -23 | -8.4 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David Gil
G
Víctor Chust
D
Lucas Pires
D
Iván Alejo
M
Rubén Alcaraz
M
Robert Navarro
M
Chris Ramos
F
Coach: Sergio
Álex Remiro
G
Igor Zubeldia
D
Robin Le Normand
D
Kieran Tierney
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
Takefusa Kubo
M
Mikel Merino
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
Umar Sadiq
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Cadiz
Osasuna
Arandina
Cadiz
Celta
Cadiz
Mallorca
Cadiz
Javier Iglesias Villanueva · 19 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.