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Süper Lig

Referee: B Taşkınsoy

Kasimpasa

U U S T T

3–0

Full-time

Hatayspor

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

35%

20%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

70%

55%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 1,09

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 10. · Hatayspor 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	20	17	2	1	+41	+36.5	53
2	Galatasaray	20	16	3	1	+27	+26.9	51
3	Trabzonspor	20	11	4	5	+13	-1.6	37
4	Besiktas	20	11	2	7	+7	+7.8	35
5	Rizespor	20	9	5	6	-2	-2.8	32
6	Ad. Demirspor	20	7	8	5	+8	-1.3	29
7	Antalyaspor	20	7	8	5	+5	+1.2	29
8	Kayserispor	20	8	5	7	-2	-4.5	29
9	Buyuksehyr	20	7	5	8	+1	-2.5	26
10	Kasimpasa	20	7	5	8	-7	-7.5	26
11	Sivasspor	20	6	7	7	-7	-3.3	25
12	Ankaragücü	20	5	9	6	+1	-2.8	24
13	Alanyaspor	20	5	7	8	-8	+0.2	22
14	Hatayspor	20	4	9	7	-1	+2.6	21
15	Samsunspor	20	6	3	11	-8	+4.9	21
16	Gaziantep	20	6	3	11	-8	-8.7	21
17	Karagumruk	20	5	5	10	-1	-9.6	20
18	Konyaspor	20	4	7	9	-13	-11.0	19
19	Pendikspor	20	3	7	10	-22	-8.2	16
20	İstanbulspor	20	2	4	14	-24	-16.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	10	0	0	+18	+18.2	30
2	Fenerbahce	10	8	1	1	+22	+19.6	25
3	Ad. Demirspor	10	7	2	1	+14	+3.9	23
4	Rizespor	11	7	2	2	+6	+4.5	23
5	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+6	+1.2	19
6	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+5	+5.1	19
7	Kayserispor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.6	18
8	Antalyaspor	11	4	6	1	+3	+0.6	18
9	Buyuksehyr	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.2	17
10	Samsunspor	10	5	2	3	+3	+3.7	17
11	Karagumruk	10	4	3	3	+6	-1.9	15
12	Hatayspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.6	14
13	Ankaragücü	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
14	Kasimpasa	10	4	2	4	-4	-4.6	14
15	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	+2.4	13
16	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
17	Gaziantep	10	3	2	5	-4	-6.1	11
18	Sivasspor	9	1	6	2	-2	+2.8	9
19	İstanbulspor	11	2	2	7	-12	-10.1	8
20	Pendikspor	9	1	3	5	-12	-6.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	9	1	0	+19	+16.9	28
2	Galatasaray	10	6	3	1	+9	+8.7	21
3	Trabzonspor	11	5	3	3	+7	-2.7	18
4	Besiktas	10	5	1	4	+2	+2.8	16
5	Sivasspor	11	5	1	5	-5	-6.1	16
6	Kasimpasa	10	3	3	4	-3	-2.9	12
7	Antalyaspor	9	3	2	4	+2	+0.7	11
8	Kayserispor	10	3	2	5	-7	-8.1	11
9	Ankaragücü	9	2	4	3	+0	-4.9	10
10	Gaziantep	10	3	1	6	-4	-2.6	10
11	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	-10	-1.3	10
12	Buyuksehyr	10	2	3	5	-4	-2.3	9
13	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
14	Alanyaspor	10	2	3	5	-8	-2.2	9
15	Konyaspor	11	1	5	5	-14	-12.1	8
16	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-3	+1.0	7
17	Ad. Demirspor	10	0	6	4	-6	-5.3	6
18	Karagumruk	10	1	2	7	-7	-7.7	5
19	Samsunspor	10	1	1	8	-11	+1.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	9	0	2	7	-12	-6.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.