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Copa del Rey
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Osasuna
U S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 40. · Sociedad 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mallorca 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Celta 4 4 0 0 +9 12
3 Ath Bilbao 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Sevilla 4 4 0 0 +8 12
5 Getafe 4 3 0 1 +12 9
6 Alaves 4 3 0 1 +10 9
7 Vallecano 3 3 0 0 +10 9
8 Girona 3 3 0 0 +6 9
9 Tenerife 4 3 0 1 +3 9
10 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +3 9
11 Valencia 4 3 0 1 +2 9
12 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +6 7
13 Unionistas de Salamanca 3 2 1 0 +4 7
14 Betis 3 2 0 1 +11 6
15 Espanol 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Elche 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Ferrol 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Castellon 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 Lugo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Barbastro 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Burgos 3 2 0 1 +0 6
24 Arandina 3 2 0 1 +0 6
25 Eibar 3 1 1 1 +1 4
26 Melilla 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Malaga 3 1 1 1 +0 4
29 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 La Coruna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Eldense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Antequera 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Andratx 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Villanovense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Tudelano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Terrassa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Amorebieta 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Atlético Astorga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Cayón 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Valle Egüés 2 1 0 1 -2 3
59 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
60 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
62 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
63 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
64 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
65 Cartagena 3 0 2 1 -1 2
66 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Cadiz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
76 Linares Deportivo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Orihuela 2 0 1 1 -3 1
78 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
104 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
118 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
119 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
124 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
125 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Sociedad
Half-time 0–0
David García 🟨
55′
55′
ℹ️ Robin Le Normand
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Alejandro Catena 🟥
56′
Alejandro Catena ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
56′
57′
Mikel Oyarzabal 0–1
60′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ Urko González
60′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ Barrenetxea
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ J. Mojica
65′
Rubén García 🔁
↦ Lucas Torró
66′
73′
🔁 Jon Magunazelaia
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
73′
🔁 U. Sadiq
↦ André Silva
75′
🟨 Jon Magunazelaia
Kike Barja 🔁
↦ José Arnáiz
79′
Raúl García 🔁
↦ A. Budimir
80′
81′
🔁 J. Aramburu
↦ Elustondo
Pablo Ibáñez 🔁
↦ Aimar Oroz
85′
88′
🟨 Robin Le Normand
Aitor Fernández 🟨
96′
97′
Mikel Merino 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Osasuna

3-4-2-1
13 Aitor Fernández G
5 David García D
24 Catena D
3 Juan Cruz D
12 Jesús Areso M
7 Moncayola M
6 Lucas Torró M
22 J. Mojica M
10 Aimar Oroz F
20 José Arnáiz F
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (11)
15 Rubén Peña
14 Rubén García
11 Kike Barja
23 Raúl García
19 Pablo Ibáñez
1 Sergio Herrera
8 D. Brašanac
34 Iker Muñoz
4 Unai García
16 Moi Gómez
28 Jorge Herrando

Coach: Arrasate

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
17 K. Tierney D
8 Mikel Merino M
15 Urko González M
12 A. Zakharyan M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
21 André Silva F
7 Barrenetxea F
Bench (11)
22 Beñat Turrientes
23 Brais Méndez
28 Jon Magunazelaia
19 U. Sadiq
39 J. Aramburu
13 Unai Marrero
29 Pablo Marín
3 Aihen Muñoz
30 Gaizka Ayesa
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
20 Jon Pacheco

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.