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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Elche
T U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Valladolid
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 17%
16%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
45%
37%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 19. · Valladolid 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 31 21 7 3 +37 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 7 4 +29 67
3 Sevilla 32 21 4 7 +22 67
4 Barcelona 30 20 5 5 +43 65
5 Villarreal 31 12 13 6 +14 49
6 Betis 32 14 7 11 -3 49
7 Sociedad 31 12 11 8 +15 47
8 Osasuna 32 10 10 12 -7 40
9 Granada 30 11 6 13 -14 39
10 Ath Bilbao 31 9 11 11 +6 38
11 Celta 31 9 11 11 -7 38
12 Levante 32 9 11 12 -7 38
13 Cadiz 31 9 9 13 -18 36
14 Valencia 32 8 11 13 -7 35
15 Getafe 31 7 10 14 -12 31
16 Valladolid 30 5 12 13 -14 27
17 Huesca 31 5 12 14 -15 27
18 Alaves 31 6 9 16 -22 27
19 Elche 31 5 11 15 -21 26
20 Eibar 31 4 11 16 -19 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jan -21 Valladolid – Elche 2–2

Match report

Elche Valladolid
12′
🟨 Kenan Kodro
1–0 Fidel
Pere Milla
22′
Pere Milla 🟨
26′
Iván Marcone 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Joaquin Fernandez
J. Mojica 🔁
↦ Josema Sánchez
60′
64′
🔁 Maranhão
↦ K. Kodro
64′
🔁 Jota
↦ F. Orellana
64′
🔁 Míchel
↦ Roque Mesa
67′
🟨 Saidy Janko
Dani Calvo 🟨
72′
E. Rigoni 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
73′
Víctor Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Pere Milla
73′
76′
🔁 Luis Pérez
↦ Óscar Plano
76′
🔁 Pablo Hervías
↦ S. Janko
Josan Ferrández 🔁
↦ Fidel
83′
Luismi Sánchez 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
83′
Gonzalo Verdú 🟨
84′
86′
L. Olaza 1–1
Emiliano Rigoni 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
1 P. Gazzaniga G
19 Barragán D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
24 Josema Sánchez D
12 Dani Calvo D
4 I. Marcone M
16 Fidel M
14 Raúl Guti M
10 Pere Milla F
9 L. Boyé F
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (12)
25 J. Mojica
22 E. Rigoni
8 Víctor Rodríguez
17 Josan Ferrández
15 Luismi Sánchez
6 O. Mfulu
23 Cifuentes
18 H. Palacios
7 Nino
20 P. Piatti
2 Diego González
13 Edgar Badia

Coach: Fran Escribá

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
6 Bruno D
25 L. Olaza D
18 S. Janko D
12 F. Orellana M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
17 Roque Mesa M
24 Joaquín Fernández D
10 Óscar Plano M
7 Sergi Guardiola F
3 K. Kodro F
Bench (12)
16 Maranhão
40 Jota
21 Míchel
2 Luis Pérez
11 Pablo Hervías
8 Kike Pérez
20 Fede
22 Nacho Martínez
13 Roberto Jiménez
30 Miguel Rubio
19 Toni Villa
4 Kiko Olivas

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U ✓
3,02
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.