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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Valencia

T S U S U

3–0

Full-time

Alaves

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 6. · Alaves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Cadiz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Granada	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Elche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.