La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | +30 | 50 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +23 | 40 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +12 | 39 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 8 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 35 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +13 | 32 |
| 7 |
Granada
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 |
Betis
|
20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 |
Levante
|
20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +0 | 26 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 |
Ath Bilbao
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | +2 | 24 |
| 12 |
Getafe
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 |
Cadiz
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 |
Valencia
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 |
Eibar
|
21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -6 | 20 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 |
Osasuna
|
20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -10 | 19 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 19 |
| 19 |
Elche
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
21 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sociedad
Betis
Betis
Celta
Huesca
Betis
Betis
Sevilla
Levante
Betis
Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.