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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
Villarreal
T U T U U
2–1
Full-time
Betis
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
42%
33%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 17. · Betis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 13 8 2 3 +11 26
2 Barcelona 13 7 4 2 +16 25
3 Ath Madrid 13 6 6 1 +8 24
4 Alaves 13 7 2 4 +4 23
5 Espanol 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Real Madrid 13 6 2 5 +1 20
7 Girona 13 5 5 3 +1 20
8 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Eibar 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Valencia 13 3 8 2 +2 17
11 Getafe 13 4 5 4 +1 17
12 Valladolid 13 4 5 4 -1 17
13 Sociedad 12 4 4 4 +1 16
14 Betis 12 4 4 4 -3 16
15 Celta 12 3 5 4 +2 14
16 Leganes 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Villarreal 12 2 5 5 -2 11
18 Ath Bilbao 13 1 8 4 -6 11
19 Vallecano 13 1 4 8 -14 7
20 Huesca 13 1 4 8 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Betis
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Trigueros
40′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Gerard Moreno
Santi Cazorla
52′
2–0 S. Chukwueze
Santi Cazorla
54′
60′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Z. Feddal
64′
🔁 G. Lo Celso
↦ A. Guardado
Miguelón Llambrich 🔁
↦ Mario Gaspar
67′
69′
🔁 Sergio León
↦ Joaquín
Manuel Morlanes 🟨
72′
C. Bacca 🔁
↦ Gerard Moreno
79′
Víctor Ruiz 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Sergio Canales
90′
G. Lo Celso 2–1
Sergio León
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-1-2
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
4 Ramiro Funes Mori D
19 Santi Cazorla M
14 Trigueros M
16 Alfonso Pedraza M
8 Pablo Fornals M
30 S. Chukwueze M
5 S. Cáseres M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
28 Manu Morlanes
15 Miguelón Llambrich
9 C. Bacca
10 N. Sansone
11 Jaume Costa
13 Andrés Fernández
17 K. Toko Ekambi

Coach: Javi Calleja

Betis

3-1-4-2
13 Pau López G
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
4 Z. Feddal D
20 Junior Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
2 Francis Guerrero M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
11 Cristian Tello
21 G. Lo Celso
7 Sergio León
1 Joel Robles
3 Javi García
8 T. Inui
10 R. Boudebouz

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.