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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Huesca
T U U T U
1–0
Full-time
Alaves
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
11 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Alaves 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 10 8 2 0 +19 26
2 Sociedad 12 7 4 1 +17 25
3 Villarreal 12 5 6 1 +4 21
4 Real Madrid 11 6 2 3 +5 20
5 Sevilla 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
7 Granada 11 4 3 4 -6 15
8 Betis 12 5 0 7 -9 15
9 Barcelona 10 4 2 4 +9 14
10 Valencia 13 3 5 5 +0 14
11 Ath Bilbao 12 4 2 6 +0 14
12 Elche 10 3 5 2 -1 14
13 Eibar 12 3 5 4 -1 14
14 Alaves 12 3 5 4 -2 14
15 Getafe 12 3 4 5 -5 13
16 Valladolid 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
18 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 -8 11
20 Huesca 12 0 8 4 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Alaves
15′
🔁 Alberto Rodríguez
↦ Laguardia
37′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Martín Aguirregabiria
↦ Ximo Navarro
Shinji Okazaki ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
52′
🟨 Jota Peleteiro
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
58′
1–0 Javi Ontiveros
Javier Galán
66′
70′
🟨 Alberto Rodríguez
75′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Rubén Duarte
75′
🔁 Borja Sainz
↦ Edgar Méndez
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
81′
83′
🟨 Joselu
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
86′
87′
🔁 Deyverson
↦ Luis Rioja
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
88′
Pablo Ínsua 🔁
↦ David Ferreiro
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Huesca

4-3-3
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
3 Pablo Maffeo D
11 Javier Galán D
24 Borja García M
7 David Ferreiro F
5 Pedro Mosquera M
17 Mikel Rico M
15 Javi Ontiveros F
12 S. Okazaki F
Bench (12)
2 I. Doumbia
9 Rafa Mir
10 Sergio Gómez
4 Pablo Ínsua
19 Pedro López
21 Juan Carlos
25 Andrés Fernández
26 K. Nwakali
16 Luisinho
22 G. Silva
20 Jaime Seoane
23 Dani Escriche

Coach: Míchel

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
23 Ximo Navarro D
4 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
16 Edgar Méndez M
8 Pina M
24 Jota Peleteiro M
9 Joselu F
7 Lucas Pérez F
11 Luis Rioja M
Bench (10)
2 Alberto Rodríguez
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
26 Javi López
29 Borja Sainz
14 Deyverson
10 J. Guidetti
37 Tomás Tavares
27 Sergi García
17 Adrián Marín
13 Sivera

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,21
B
3,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.