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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Barcelona
S S S S S
6–1
Full-time
Eibar
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
3,2
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Eibar 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Sevilla 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Valencia 5 2 3 0 +6 9
4 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +5 8
6 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +5 8
7 Ath Bilbao 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Villarreal 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Levante 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Leganes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Betis 4 2 0 2 -2 6
12 Las Palmas 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Eibar 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Girona 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Espanol 4 1 1 2 -5 4
17 Celta 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 La Coruna 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Alaves 4 0 0 4 -7 0
20 Malaga 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Eibar
10′
🟨 Ander Capa
1–0 L. Messi
20′
2–0 Paulinho
Denis Suárez
38′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 Denis Suárez
53′
57′
Sergi Enrich 3–1
Juncà
4–1 L. Messi
Sergio Busquets
59′
5–1 L. Messi
Paulinho
62′
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ Iniesta
63′
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Sergio Busquets
65′
65′
🔁 Rubén Peña
↦ Ander Capa
72′
🔁 Charles
↦ Sergi Enrich
Aleix Vidal 🔁
↦ Deulofeu
75′
77′
🔁 Christian Rivera
↦ Dani García
80′
🟨 Alejandro Gálvez
6–1 L. Messi
Aleix Vidal
87′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
14 J. Mascherano M
3 Piqué D
19 L. Digne D
2 Nélson Semedo D
8 Iniesta M
15 Paulinho M
5 Sergio Busquets M
6 Denis Suárez M
10 L. Messi F
16 Deulofeu F
Bench (7)
20 Sergi Roberto
4 I. Rakitić
22 Aleix Vidal
9 L. Suárez
13 J. Cillessen
18 Jordi Alba
25 T. Vermaelen

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 M. Dmitrović G
18 Arbilla D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Alejandro Gálvez D
23 Juncà D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
24 Joan Jordán M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
11 Rubén Peña
19 Charles
6 Christian Rivera
10 Bebé
13 Asier Riesgo
15 José Ángel
22 Lombán

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.