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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Sp Braga
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 32%
63%
0%
Points per game
1,9
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
88%
25%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,29 xG 0,75
53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -23 Union Berlin – Sp Braga 2–3 27. Oct -22 Union Berlin – Sp Braga 1–0 15. Sep -22 Sp Braga – Union Berlin 1–0

Match report

Sp Braga Union Berlin
-5′
🟨 Leonardo Bonucci
3′
🟨 Robin Knoche
Sikou Niakaté ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
30′
Sikou Niakaté 🟥
31′
Victor Gómez 🟨
33′
S. Saatçı 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
36′
39′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
42′
⚽ R. Gosens 0–1
J. Roussillon
Half-time 0–1
Rodrigo Zalazar 🟨
46′
1–1 Álvaro Djaló ⚽
Ricardo Horta
51′
54′
🟨 Rani Khedira
62′
🔁 J. Haberer
↦ L. Tousart
62′
🔁 D. Fofana
↦ K. Behrens
Abel Ruiz 🔁
↦ S. Banza
68′
78′
🔁 A. Král
↦ A. Laïdouni
78′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ R. Khedira
André Horta 🔁
↦ R. Zalazar
81′
Roger Fernandes 🔁
↦ Álvaro Djaló
82′
J. Mendes 🔁
↦ Víctor Gómez
82′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
6 José Fonte D
4 S. Niakaté D
26 C. Borja D
28 João Moutinho M
18 Vitor Carvalho M
14 Álvaro Djaló M
16 R. Zalazar M
21 Ricardo Horta M
23 S. Banza F
Bench (12)
5 S. Saatçı
9 Abel Ruiz
10 André Horta
11 Roger Fernandes
17 J. Mendes
12 Tiago Sá
88 Castro
15 Paulo Oliveira
91 L. Horníček
22 Pizzi
20 Rony Lopes
19 Adrián Marín

Coach: Artur Jorge

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1
1 F. Rønnow G
18 J. Juranović D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
26 J. Roussillon D
8 R. Khedira M
10 K. Volland M
29 L. Tousart M
20 A. Laïdouni M
6 R. Gosens M
17 K. Behrens F
Bench (10)
19 J. Haberer
11 D. Fofana
33 A. Král
7 B. Aaronson
38 L. Dehl
3 P. Jaeckel
37 A. Schwolow
23 L. Bonucci
39 Y. Stein
28 C. Trimmel

Coach: N. Bjelica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.